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10NL full house, call or raise to river lead?

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Anomic
Joined: 15.01.2012

Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

Play hand

$0.05/$0.1 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)

Known players:
[tg]BU$13.17:///////;SB$16.31:///////;BB$15.81:///////;MP2$6.36:///////;MP3$2.23:///////;CO (Hero)$18.98:///////;[/tg]

Preflop: Hero is CO with 6:h, 6:d.
2 folds, Hero raises to $0.25, 2 folds, BB calls $0.15.

Flop: ($0.55) 6:c, Q:d, 8:d (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $0.42, BB calls $0.42.

Turn: ($1.39) 2:c (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $1.06, BB calls $1.06.

River: ($3.51) Q:s (2 players)
BB bets $2.35, Hero calls $2.35.

Final Pot: $8.21.
Results follow:

Spoiler

BB shows three of a kind, queens(K:c Q:h).
Hero shows a full-house, sixes full of queens(6:h 6:d).

Hero wins with a full-house, sixes full of queens(6:h 6:d).

I'd raise river here pretty much always, but villain is a winning reg and I thought he wouldn't play the river this way with anything I beat except missed draws...


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2 replies
Zanardi1
Joined: 04.01.2010

Shove. The only hands that beat you are QQ, Q6 and 88. Yes, he may have 88 or QQ once in a blue moon, but I think that, if he had it, he'd (re)raise you somewhere along the way.

It intrigues me that he played like this TPSK being 150 bb deep.


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Coach
w34z3l
Joined: 03.08.2009

Hey Anomic,

Flop for value is good. Turn for value is good.

River is probably a pretty clear shove imo. His most likely holdings are busted draws and Qx. Obviously we don't have the nuts here on the river but it's unlikely villain would just x/c down 66/88, he'd probably x/r at some point.


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