Poker Stars $10.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter
MP: $8.15
CO: $28.78
BTN: $4.57
SB: $12.84
BB: $10.67
Hero (UTG): $10.15
Pre Flop: ($0.15) Hero is UTG with A
A
Hero raises to $0.35, 1 fold, CO raises to $1.25, 3 folds, Hero raises to $2.50, CO calls $1.25
Flop: ($5.15) K
5
K
(2 players)
Hero ???????
Villain is 21/17 on 160 hands. He has 5.1 overall 3bet.
Some card combo counting:
If villain 3bets a range of JJ+ AK vs me and somehow calls all of those hands to a 4bet, then on the flop he has
1 combo of AA
1 combo of KK
6 combos of QQ
6 combos of JJ
2A's available, 2 K's available = 4 combos of AK
I split with 1, beat 12 and lose to 5 combos.
If he commits with all those combos except JJ when I play passively from flop representing JJ myself I will split once, lose 5 times and win 6 times.
6.5/12 wins > 50% equity So I would have to commit despite losing such an extraordinary amount of the time.
If he were to only bet 1/2 his QQ combos, and always jams AA and KK preflop we see this;
4 combos AK
3 combos QQ
we win 3/7 times so still now 42%, and we need 38% equity.
(we need to call $7.65 and the pot if we called a jam would be $20.3 - $? rake. 7.65/20 = 0.3825)