yes it was tl but I did read.
Best line from the article:
In fact, estimating your winrate accurately is basically impossible. In order to know your winrate at NLHE 6-max within 2 bb/100 (e.g.4 bb/100 +/- 2 bb/100 a.k.a. 2 bb/100 to 6 bb/100) with 95% confidence, you need to play about 800k hands!
This after a long explanation of winrates, standard deviations.
I've played about 200K lifetime, and about 150K of those I have tracked.
My game changes from month-to-month as I learn more and forget some etc.
However, the gist of the article:
Less than 1% of them lose (0.65%), and almost 90% of them (89.2%) make at least 50 buy-ins. So, a 200k hand sample for a solid NLHE 6-max reg is going to turn out pretty well almost always. That’s awesome. It isn’t the end of the world to play 200k hands–Just 6-table for 400 hours.
Which I read as:
If you are a losing player after 200K hands, it ain't "variance". Face it, you suck.
If that's you, buy jb/TT/manu's book.