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NL25 SH ZOOM - QTs T2P on wet board

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Poker Stars, $0.10/$0.25 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

Hero (SB): $28.90 (115.6 bb)
BB: $36.29 (145.2 bb)
UTG: $106.16 (424.6 bb)
MP: $13.37 (53.5 bb)
CO: $25 (100 bb)
BTN: $23.65 (94.6 bb)

Preflop: Hero is SB with T Q
4 folds, Hero raises to $0.75, BB calls $0.50

Flop: ($1.50) 9 Q 4 (2 players)
Hero bets $1.19, BB calls $1.19

Turn: ($3.88) T (2 players)
Hero bets $3.09, BB calls $3.09

River: ($10.06) 2 (2 players)
Hero checks, BB bets $7.50, Hero calls $7.50

Results:

Spoiler

$25.06 pot ($1.37 rake)
Final Board: 9 Q 4 T 2
Hero mucked T Q and lost (-$12.53 net)
BB showed A T and won $23.69 ($11.16 net)

1.4k hands
VPIP/PFR/3B/AF/WTSD
18/14/5.3/3.6/20

Fold BB to SB vs me: 78(9) [I'm on autoprofit vs xem]
Fold to Flop CB: 75 (IP 66)
BetVsMissed: 64

Flop: A big size to maximize protection.
Turn: Tricky board for my 2Pair, I bet/fold.
River: Blank, tempted to bet/fold again but on this board there's just too much that beats me (xe folds most of crap on flop), and what I beat wouldn't call a bet I think.
Given the high aggression/BetVsMissed I attempt a bluffcatch vs missed FD or wrongly played AQ or something like that but thinking about it now it's a bit too narrow and this should have been a check/fold instead.

Thoughts?


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5 replies
joey1toe
Joined: 12.10.2010

I think you got greedy on the river look at the stats we have over that number of hands, he's a nit and fit or fold postflop, he wouldn't call you 2 streets without a strong holding. I would bet the same on flop and turn but definitely x/f on the river.


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NightShadePMC
Joined: 16.11.2010

blockbet-folding 20-30% of the pot size on the river might be a cheaper alternative to find out where you're standing while also extracting some value from AQ or weaker holdings.


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Originally posted by NightShadePMC
blockbet-folding 20-30% of the pot size on the river might be a cheaper alternative to find out where you're standing while also extracting some value from AQ or weaker holdings.

Theoretically a nice idea but against a solid nit they are usually aware of what it means and ends up being a stab in your guts as they can turn a pair into bluff by raising you, and not calling with any worse.
Both are disastrous for us.


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NightShadePMC
Joined: 16.11.2010

But aren't nits by definition unlikely to bluff?


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Tomaloc
Joined: 17.01.2011

i usually don't give people credit for turning sdv into bluffs until i see them doing it. :f_biggrin:

i also think a <50% riverbet is decent, else probably a x/f, or work on your sizings. i mean, it's really weird that you bet over 3/4 ott but suddenly don't wanna vbet again on the blankest of cards


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