Hero in CO vs SB tight range

I did cbet because i got a backdoor FD and SD + Overcard and the bet is +EV bc he has such high FtCbet.
His range in sb is tight also.. something like this

after he check/calls flop i am thinking he doesnt have a J, only AJ in his range and why would AJ bet river.
So he represents sets or straight or some tentative to get a cheap showdown.
Actually he cant have sets ,exept 666 . and 44 he fold on flop.

he is left with 66-TT
So do you think this was +EV or as usual i cant handle my aggression ?!?

If you were in his shoes would you bet river with AJ?

Originally posted by nitrol
If you were in his shoes would you bet river with AJ?

i would bet vs him about 20% of time. Mostly will not bet because he is a little bit nitty tag

If u dont think he would bet AJ OTR why would he then bet 77-TT?

Originally posted by jonnyZ
If u dont think he would bet AJ OTR why would he then bet 77-TT?

as a blocker to my aggression and for value because my range is wide, my ATS from CO is 60%
dont really know ... this is what i was thinking there at the table

To me the river raise seems like blind aggression. And I don't think you give him the correct range.

I'm not sure that the river raise would be +EV, but might be that it's the case. Vs thinking players, we don't represent much, though, imo. We will cbet all sets and 4x on the turn. So when we checked the turn and raise the river, it looks pretty much as a bluff because a) we don't have a straight, b) we don't have sets (besides the fact that we didn't cbet the turn, we most likelly won't raise them on the river on that particular board), c) we will just call hands like TP.

It makes total sense to check back A4/44 OTT. I like this bluff. If you ever bluff-raise (something that you might now want to do at the micros), then this is a candidate spot for it.