Secret Diary of a Limp Girl: $500 -> $2500 in lottery SnGs

Originally posted by tonypmm
When I put the title into Google, it shows 9 results with 'call' instead of 'limp' on the first page, so it's all right. I replaced the word in such a way that it would make some real-life sense ('limp' being understood as 'weak-willed' or even 'drunk'). Besides, the main forum page shows only so many symbols out of the title (replacing the rest with dots), and I wanted at least the first phrase to be shown fully there.

Originally posted by vonki

Originally posted by tonypmm
Veronika, may I (or Lemon) portray you by means of a PKR avatar? (Or do you have your own already?)

Hehe sure. No I must say I don't, I once played on PKR but that must have been many years ago by now

Meh, PKR is too inflexible to impersonate anyone properly

I've updated post #2 with my poor attempt

Hahah, I'd say your profile picture on PSY is more alike than the PKR one

Originally posted by vonki
Hahah, I'd say your profile picture on PSY is more alike than the PKR one

I don't know how you look like right now; my educated guess was based on your few old photos, obviously.

You can tell me what to adjust to make it more similar to you; I need to redesign it anyway this week, make a 'plastic surgery' etc., so I can make in-between temporary changes.

As PKR doesn't write tournament buy-ins and winnings into HH files, it's difficult to make a HM2 graph. Instead, I'll be making a simple graph of the account balance at the end (23:59 ET) of each playing day and adding it into edited versions of post #2 itt, so please check my results there if interested.

Technical notice regarding deposits

As PKR's Trilogy promotion requires depositing, I'll do so but it won't affect the accounting of the challenge, i.e. the bottom point is still -$500 net from the start and the win point is +$2000 net from the start. The justification is the same as with addition of owed rakeback - I can temporarily deposit, even out of a credit line (which I don't need to do in fact), and withdraw when the promo series ends.

As KATE1991 (who represents that very Kate from the hand review news series) has asked me to post my current outfit and I've delivered, I've also been obliged to add it into post #2 itt.

I barely played these two days, have been too out of focus :f_cry:; somehow I luckboxed a few 4x-6x tourneys tonight, despite a disastrous session start, and was able to renew the bankroll top point.

As for flirting and publicity:

1. On Thursday night, I sat down to play PLO25, and a recreational (with a rather indecent screenname) called me very beautiful (in Russian, though he isn't Slav ) and then bought me a glass of champagne after I won a big pot - what a gentleman In the end, we remained HU till the middle of the night He didn't **** me, but neither did I make a significant profit from him. That was yet when I was a redhead hippie, I'll miss those times

2. Tonight, an MTT reg who plays at different sites, but especially loves PKR and wants to promote it, has started Twitching and, as far as he told me in the table chat, I did make a cameo on his stream in one of the $12 jackpots that he decided to play on the side. Unfortunately, I probably exposed the fact that I'm a /freshfish, by calling off his squeeze with QJs 12 bb deep, though I was relying on a note about the width of his 3-betting range from our previous encounter.

Originally posted by tonypmm
Important notice regarding MTTs

As the fields are very small in PKR MTTs, I'm tempted to incorporate them to 'tie myself to the chair' to grind longer sessions

The maximum buy-ins of MTTs that will be included into the challenge stats are as follows:

$12 freezeouts
$6 - 1 rebuy or 1 add-on
$3.50 - 2 rebuys / R+A

I reserve the right to play higher buy-in MTTs, but neither losses nor winnings in them are going to be included into the stats.

Due to the slight increase of the bankroll and the confidence, I amend these limits to the following:

non-turbo freezeouts up to $30 (including Sunday Showdown)
turbo freezeouts or 2-rebuy - up to $12
hypers with <=2 rebuys or non-hypers with unlimited rebuys - up to $6

subbed!
greetings from a spin fellow!

Hey Alex, I hope you don't have to read too much of my ramblings, i.e. the challenge comes to an end soon enough

GRoDT report

43 tournaments
+$427
$1081
2 weeks

The Sunday jump of the bankroll happened due to a deepish cash in the $30 Sunday Showdown I regret not playing Jackpots instead of that, though - my profit would have been around the same on average.

I probably should cut out MTTs altogether because I'm always afraid of launching extra tables while sitting in them - focus would be taken away, which would result in a loss of my MTT equity, which becomes enormous when I run deep there

As far as dolling up, my taste has been rightfully criticised by KATE1991 in the news comments, but I'd like to defend myself: my goal is a bit different from girls' usual seduction objective, as no kind of intimate relationship is possible between PKR avatars and what I'm trying to accomplish is just to distract and overwhelm my opponents here and now, while we're at the table. Plus I'd like to make my PKR avatar so attractive to myself that I have motivation to see it again, i.e. hit the tables So I think that having too many bright accents in the look, especially if they're my fetishes, is justified.

I may explain my thought process after I wake up, but now I'm just too tired. Stay tuned

What a stupid night

I wanted to make use of Stars' Ronaldo Nazário challenge and loaded a few innocent-looking $0.30 satellites (because I'd probably fail in higher BI non-Spin SnGs)... having forgotten to look up that their target tourney, The Big $2.20, was already in late registration The saddest part is that the RNG 'forced' me to stay in The Big for ~5 hours until the last 3 tables in the @#$% vanilla (= non-turbo freezeout) structure to win <$16 net because of my own /typical late stage postflop stupidity, which I don't have room for in 180-mans, obviously (the stacks are shallow enough).

GRoDT report

91 tournament
+$7
$1088
3 weeks

No comments, just a terrible week, I was unable to cope with the software lag and was playing with the brain shut out

I had to withstand two hours of a 'repast' last Saturday with totally alien people and most likely have one more such 'party' coming up this week But even without that, my circadian rhythm is absolutely dead.

Plus I'm having a PKR identity crisis - I have no idea what kind of avatar shop settings can make be beautiful and whether I'm violating any of the face proportion or clothing harmony rules.

[Starting from this report, I've been calculating owed rakeback at the 20% rate because, even though I'm $30 of net rake short of the $150 target, my BR is sufficient to play the needed 43 $12 tourneys.]

Hey Tonypmm, Add me on friend tool/ship me your skype please!
If you'd be so nice we'd like to feature your not at all creepy online character making skills on the Community Show and show folks at home how to do it!

^ Thanks for the invitation!

Readers, stay tuned - the talks are in progress.

Meanwhile, it looks as though Stars are /finally to amend their T&C to ban SpinWiz (here's https://www.pokerstars.com/assets/common/downloads/tpt-reference-guide.pd f" rel="nofollow ugc" target="_blank">the official explanation PDF file with the changes; those whose ISP allows viewing the pokerstars.com site can also read the source file here). That's a game-changer. /phew The changes are coming into effect next Monday (28th), but I'll allow the regs at least one more month to move up to HU hypers where they respect your Sharky (which is not banned because the HU lobby allows registration into specific tournaments).

I still ought to ask PKR's management to improve the seating algorithm because, as is, it results in a dramatic traffic drop at offpeak hours - people do register into the pool, but are randomly spread across 10 tables in the 'black box' lobby and it's hard for them to meet each other unless the regs open 9 tables each and then, when enough games start, unregister from the rest

wow! Let the fun begin! :)))

Yeah, SNE-2016 has started looking more doable if it's retained with a similar return % in the 2016 VIP program ($30s at peak, $60s off peak with no headache about being sat by a strong reg with an unfairly high frequency). The only problem, a big one, is stamina, as always

I'm done with the challenge for this week: as I'm in urgent need of PKR points, Sunday will be dedicated to rather expensive cash games that I can't afford to include into the challenge stats. (Talk about the urubu111 syndrome, hehe; no, the real reason is that I just can't beat significant stakes so >90% of my volume is about as variance-free relatively as play money games, and I'm entitled to sweep the rest under the rug )

GRoDT report - week 4 alone

35 tournaments
-$68
$1020
4 weeks

Weeks 3&4 (in case they're combined in the news)

126 tournaments
-$61
$1020
4 weeks

ah, you all so good

To expand on a thought that I've just posted in the GRoDT hub thread:

Originally posted by tonypmm
I tell in advance which expensive games I exclude from the accounting, they're only a small part of my activity anyway. The idea is similar to the concept of a solid defence line in Tankroll BRM: I have challenge games that I'm testing for reliable beatability for a living in the long run, which allows me to look into the future with optimism and venture into some non-challenge games from time to time that I probably don't beat.

While I dismiss the Tankroll itself because almost no one (except those crushers who would be playing higher than NL100 anyway) can beat NL100 at 10+ bb/100 post-rakeback (otherwise moving up with 10 BIs is suboptimal), I suspect that the general construction of a solid 'defence line' (the stake that one can surely beat) plus shots at higher stakes might work.

However, I think the shots should be limited in time regardless of how well things go in monetary terms. The only purpose that they should serve is measurement of one's winrate when it's not very predictable (e.g. in the case of switching sites and thus fields, like from PKR's $12s to Stars' $30s).

Here, the fact that jackpot-type SnGs have a measure of skill (the chip EV) that converges way faster than the actual winnings comes in handy because it means that it suffices to risk as smaller portion of the BR for the purpose of winrate measurement than it's necessary in games where all-in races make up for only a minority of the variance, like 100 bb NLHE cash.

So, though I'm not done yet even with the non-Bayesian part of the BRM research (i.e. for the case when the winrate at each stake is known or can be predicted), I might want to incorporate Bayesian inference (calculating the winrate prediction basing on both an a priori assumption and the actual results, the latter mattering more as the sample size grows). This model is known as 'optimal betting under uncertainty', and it was applied in 'The Mathematics of Poker', which showed that the incomplete info on the winrate makes the BRM guidelines much tighter (I'm not sure by how much in the jackpot case).

In particular, the potential EV loss from overestimation of the ROI at the 50s-60s can be way bigger than the missed gain from underestimating it and not playing the 50s-60s instead of the 10s-30s of various sites.

Let me share a curious article about competition that shows what hinders the progress of most poker players (imo).

To Achieve Your Best Results, Put on Blinders

So next time when I'm asked what winrate EV is 'good' at game X, the answer will be simple: anything positive and better than your own of last month (To be exact, there's just no 'good winrate' at all - instead of being attached to the graph, consider yourself better than yesterday whenever your quality of play and thinking process are better.)

Heh, I've never stated that I was going to exclude iPoker action, so let me include it a bit retroactively...

I've just gone on a god mode, +€140 was not too bad for six €10 Twister games

A bad news is that I yet 'have' to play 423 (!!) $12 jackpots today (GMT) to meet my monthly PKR goal

Edit: in fact, that's the minimum task; ideally, I'd like to rake somewhat more than $300... I might need to add $25 HU turbos at those times when no reg is opensitting them. $50 HUs would be a bit wacky for a $1K BR, and I'd be toast if a /typical reg of those decided to battle me out, so I think I'll cap the stakes at $25 for now. And it still looks like the task will take 10-ish hours of grind.

Originally posted by tonypmm
Mission: Impossible?

Of course it is, especially when I have a fit of maladaptive daydreaming and get myself sleep only for 4 hours (local 2-6 PM, instead of the expected 8 AM - 3 PM) as a result

In other news, PKR has apparently decided to spend all its October promo budget on three casino leaderboards - their total prize pool is $55K: $25K for Casino [powered by Playtech], $15K for 3D Casino, $5K for Games plus the pooled $5K Luxury Holiday leaderboard that counts points from all the three casino sections. I wonder if any of these leaderboards will return more than 0.5% of the wager (i.e. >100% 'rakeback') to anyone... probably not.

The total promo budget in September was $50K, so I'm not holding my breath for anything else

It's a big MTT Sunday tonight - by coincidence, there are a few non-weekly tourneys that have got scheduled on the same Sunday, which is like a planetary alignment. Neither of the MTTs that I play tonight, except iPoker's Mission freeroll, will count into the challenge stats as a loss or a win (they're just too expensive and/or big-field).

Good luck in PKR Masters, iPOPS Main Event, Red Spade Open and other MTT grind to those playing there!

My profit from the Mission freeroll is exactly €0 because this stupid network can't strengthen up its servers and has limited the number of entrants to 3K (as opposed to the normal 5K or 7.5K), apparently to allow the Main to run smoothly, hence the FR filled up to the max and 15-minute late reg into it was impossible