AQ CC IP - Call Down Flop/Turn VBet River

Hi I think this hand is played fine. He's obv a fish from his stats, and could be value betting worse hands. When you call AQ pf vs someone with these stats and hit top pair, i'd say calling flop and turn are mandatory unless the board runs out crazy. On the river you can't fold given the price, and some of these guys spaz out with second pair, or a worse ace when you bet the river.

Could we 3bet this hand vs this opponent? Villains pot size bets OTF and OTT look a bit scary but since you know he is a bit aggressive and if you think the bet sizes are normal for him, you can call. I think he would bet OTR with sets and and AK. I rarely see bet - bet - x/r line so it might be a fishy bluff.

I think normal line vs a reg or tag would be check back river. You decided to make a thin value bet based on villains playing style? The problem is that after 32 hands I doubt you have enough information about villains playing style.

I don't really like a call on the river so much... I might shove river myself, but when we bet small and the guy shoves, I bet he has us beat here...

32 hands on a player is the same as 0 hands

if we are not ready to call on river I think we should xbehind instead.

Hello la55i,

Originally posted by la55i
Could we 3bet this hand vs this opponent? Villains pot size bets OTF and OTT look a bit scary but since you know he is a bit aggressive and if you think the bet sizes are normal for him, you can call. I think he would bet OTR with sets and and AK. I rarely see bet - bet - x/r line so it might be a fishy bluff.

I think normal line vs a reg or tag would be check back river. You decided to make a thin value bet based on villains playing style? The problem is that after 32 hands I doubt you have enough information about villains playing style.

I considered 3Betting the villain my hand but as I had seen him doing pot bets all the time on the last few hands, I decided it was better to cold call preflop and call down postflop whenever I hit a made hand, such as I did till the turn. On the river, I decided to make a thin value bet based on that I thought there were more worse hands that could be calling my bet. I agree with that 32 hands aren't very useful, but at least he had a strong tendency to a recreational player

I think villain's range is polarized. He bets pot 3-ways on the flop. Thus significantly reduce the chance that he is bluffing. He may have a mediocre hand that wants to win on the spot. Turn is pot bet again. Now I reduce the chance he is playing a mediocre hand. For me, the river bet is a no no, since his range (to me) is nuts + bluffs, not mediocre hands that can call even a small bet. Besides, even a small bet commits us.

I second Yohan's opinion of a check on the river based on his analysis. The rest seems played fine on the basis of your read.