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2NL:Sitting on SB w/QQ, 15/12 reg on BTN raises 2.5x, 3bet or call?

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I'm sitting on SB. Folded around, reg on BTN with 15/12 VPIP/PFR (ABC player according to Holdem Manager 2) raises 2.5x , effective stack is 125BB. Would you call or would you 3-bet?

Villain stats:

Hands sample: 1.7k
VPIP/PFR: 15/12
3bet: 4,6%
fold to 3bet: 73%
4bet: 4,5%

Flop c-bet: 69%
Flop fold to c-bet: 43%
Turn c-bet: 65%
Turn fold to c-bet: 60%

PFR on BTN: 21%

What do you guys think is the optimal play here?

Do you call and try to get as much money in as possible, especially if there are no overcards?

Assuming you call, when do you fold postflop if he continues with the aggression?

What do you think is his actual range for raising the button when it's folded around to him?


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13 replies

Just starting in here, I've played like 5000 hands,

I would raise it x3.5, and if he folded I'd be happy ;)

I don't know what will other people say, my though is in cashing those QQ in.


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nsavov
Joined: 24.09.2010

Fold


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

3b of course.


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

3bet. Why would you even consider calling?


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I was thinking, if no overcards come i can squeeze more chips from him. And even if they do, if his range for the button is 40% I am still ahead of his range when one overcard comes, and when two overcards come on the flop we're about 50/50

According to equilab:

Villain BTN range 40% / Hero w/QQ

No overcards: 26%/74%
1 overcard -Ace: 43%/57%
1 overcard-King: 35.5%/64.5%
2 overcards: 50%/50%


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

Yes you are ahead if you go all in preflop and he calls you with his entire range. You really don't want to see any overcards postflop and you can't get any value from that guy. When there is a overcard OTF and vilain calls you, you are beat :) 3betting is the only option here imo.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

You can bet postflop on Axx and Kxx too.


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It's clearly a spot to 3-bet, if you just call you're already losing value and being OOP makes it more difficult to play OTF...
only reason to flat would be if the big blind was super squeeze-happy


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

I hope you are not folding to a squeeze.


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

Originally posted by nitrol
I hope you are not folding to a squeeze.

Could we 4bet shove vs super squeeze happy squeezer :f_smile:


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

What would stop us from doing that?


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wimNP
Joined: 11.03.2011

What do you think is his actual range for raising the button when it's folded around to him?

You can use PokerStrategy.com's Equilab. This is a free tool and a must have.


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obviously not folding to a squeeze...
4-bet all day long


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