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straight on paired board

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mylove190207
Joined: 10.04.2011

IPoker, $0.02/$0.05 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $23.16 (463.2 bb)
BB: $5 (100 bb)
UTG: $5 (100 bb) 21/16/8/ 900 hands
MP: $2.81 (56.2 bb)
Hero (CO): $5.03 (100.6 bb)
BTN: $6.78 (135.6 bb)

Preflop: Hero is CO with 7 7
UTG raises to $0.15, MP folds, Hero calls $0.15, 3 folds

Flop: ($0.37) 9 5 8 (2 players)
UTG bets $0.25, Hero calls $0.25

Turn: ($0.87) 6 (2 players)
UTG bets $0.55, Hero raises to $1.76, UTG calls $1.21

River: ($4.39) 8 (2 players)
UTG bets $2.25, Hero calls $2.25

I don't have 77 in my cold calling range against UTG from CO. So this is mistake PF. But post flop I think that I played well. Just I am not sure about river. Will he play same way with T7? Probably not, because I expect him to shove on turn when I raise. He could play like that with over pairs, but again he will probably shove or even fold on turn. So what is left in his range is full-house. I am basically new to CG and I can be wrong with my expectations. But I can't see anything else here than FH, over pairs or straight.

Against: 99-55,T7s,98s,87s I am in verry bad shape. And I can't really see anything else from reg here. If he is capable of playing like that on that board with TPTK, then this is totally different story.

What do you think?


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9 replies
Hesticus
Joined: 24.06.2008

Either he has the goods or he outplayed you indeed. He couldn't put you on 99+ since you would most of the time re-raise. It could be that he put you on J10s+, QJs, K-Js, Ax and 22 - 88. You see that most combos are Ax and thus he might pursue his bluff. Your re-raise could also indicate you were on a FD and a pair on the board would definitely lower the chances of you having a set. In the end he is OOP and the only chance villain has now is making a bluff and the math in this case isn't so much different than having an actual hand and betting for value. That is, if villain thinks he can make a certain bluff size to you to make it profitable, he would not hesitate to do this.

In the end I would have called as well since the only hand that beats you are 99 looking to his range.

Hope this helps, good luck at the tables!


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

1) UTG has all 55+ in his opening range.
2) You should have 77 in your calling range from CO and it is not a mistake.
3) With our raise on turn we show we have a 7 and when the board pairs and villain bets I do not like calling. He will not do this with a missed fd as we've shown we have a straight.


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

Preflop is not a mistake. 77 should be in your cold calling range. Usually I would just set mine OTF and fold without a hit but since flop doesn't hit UTG's opening range so hard and we have gutshot I think we can call. OTR villain has 55,88,99,QQ,KK,AA and maybe some bluffs. I think we can call OTR.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

I will disagree with you. QQ+ is not calling the turn raise with 4-to-a-straight on the board.
I do not think a bluff hand will call that raise either.


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LuckyManFromLT
Joined: 12.11.2013

I agree with nitrol, UTG doesn't have QQ+ even if he calls OTT, he is not betting river. His river betting range should be like this:

Board: 9♦5♥8♣ 6♥ 8♠
       Equity     Win     Tie
MP2    88.46%  76.92%  11.54% { 99-88, 66-55, A7s, 87s }
MP3    11.54%   0.00%  11.54% { 7d7s }

And he might not have A7s and maybe 87s in his UTG op range, he looks tight.


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

Okay I think that sounds reasonable and I change my opinion _biggrin:

We block 7x hands so most likely villain has FH? Then it is a clear fold.


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

We not only block 7x but he has only 87s (if loose A7s too) in his open range. We are not splitting there.


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Hesticus
Joined: 24.06.2008
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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

It depends on how he constructs his ranges but in most cases he won't have A7s in his range. Looser player only will.


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