Poker Stars, $0.05/$0.10 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
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Hero (SB): $13.29 (132.9 bb)
BB: $24.73 (247.3 bb)
UTG: $7.91 (79.1 bb)
MP: $11.44 (114.4 bb)
CO: $10.85 (108.5 bb)
BTN: $10 (100 bb)
Preflop: Hero is SB with A
Q![]()
UTG folds, MP raises to $0.30, 2 folds, Hero calls $0.25, BB folds
Flop: ($0.70) 6
9
5
(2 players)
Hero checks, MP bets $0.44, Hero calls $0.44
Turn: ($1.58) 2
(2 players)
Hero checks, MP bets $1.01, Hero folds
Analysis:
Spoiler
Preflop: I call this hand by default SB vs MP. I would rather 3bet bluff if I would have an aggressive BB. I don't think I can 3bet AQo for value in this situation, at least vs an average opponent. This player plays 18/17 in 341 hands and his MP RFI is 23%. I believe his RFI range is something like this:

My standard ranges in this situation are:

Flop: I hit two overs and weak BDFD so I believe I don't want to fold. I want to defend at least 60% of my range there in average to not be exploitable. This player cbets flop when in position in 78% of cases (9 occasions) and turn in 40% of cases (5 occasions), so I assume he is quite aggressive on the flop, but slows down his aggression on the turn a bit, even the samples are small. On this flop, I believe he would cbet the majority of his preflop range, something like this:

His stats tells me that I don't want to fold flop in most situations, but I have to be a bit more carefull on turns and I would usually attack most rivers by probe bet if he checks the turn, either for thin value if I hit TP or as a bluff if I hit nothing. First I will create my defending range vs cbets on this flop and it could look like this:

So it is a bit more than 60% of my preflop range, but I think it's fine. I think we can have a check/raising range on this board, so I would check raise sets for value, which is 9 comobs. That means that I need to check raise 18-20 combos as a semi-bluff, so I would choose 88-77 (12 combos) since they make a gutshots and probably AdKx and AdQx (6 combos), AcKc, AcQc, AcJc (3 combos), so my check/raising range would be this:

I believe that nut flushdraws would be strong enough to check/raise for value there, but since we have sets in our range, probably we can check/call those. My check/calling range would be this:

So, I'm calling AcQd here. My entire flop check/calling range on this board has 58% of equity against his assumed cbetting range. AcQd specifically has 48% of equity.
Turn: On this turn card, I believe he would check back some of his flop bluffs, so his cbetting range will be:

Against that range my flop check/calling range now has 44% of equity and AcQd specifically just 20% of equity. So, I think I can now fold my AKo and AQo, so my check/calling range would be:

This range has 55% of equity against his assumed turn cbetting range. Maybe I can bluff check/raise KcQc..
MP: 18/17/23/78/100(1)/40/9,3/341 (VPIP/PFR/MP_RFI/IP_FlopCB/IPFlopCB-Fold/IP_TurnCB/AF/H)