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AQs UTG V SB 3BET POT Turn All-In

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Macqas
Joined: 25.08.2014

Hi,

Poker Stars, $0.01/$0.02 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.

SB: $2.34 (117 bb) (VPIP:30.00;PFR:15.00;TOT3BET:1.00(89);Hands:227)
BB: $2.25 (112.5 bb)
Hero (UTG): $2 (100 bb)
MP: $2.37 (118.5 bb)
CO: $3.39 (169.5 bb)
BTN: $2.24 (112 bb)

Preflop: Hero is UTG with A Q
Hero raises to $0.06, 3 folds, SB raises to $0.20, BB folds, Hero calls $0.14

Flop: ($0.42) 3 Q 8 (2 players)
SB checks, Hero checks

Turn: ($0.42) 8 (2 players)
SB bets $2.14, Hero calls $1.80 and is all-in

River: ($4.02) 8 (2 players, 1 is all-in)

PreFlop - I OR AQs in UTG. SB 3Bets 1 Pot. I call.

Flop - SB checks. I check as well as I see no point in betting.
Turn - SB bets All-In. His tot3bet so far is 1 in 89 cases (in a small sample). It is probably variance however, the huge gap between vpip and pfr is an evidence that he cold calls too much and 3bets too little so, I think his real tot3bet is actually less than 7 and so then, he shouldn't have bluffs in it. So, I think his range can be JJ+,AQs+,AKo. I believe he is checking both flop and turn JJ, AQs, AKs and AKo, except for AhKh and QQ, which i would expect him to bet the flop and turn. So that, the result is that his range is KK+ in my opinion. In conclusion I need 81.1% equity to call that I don't have but the truth is that I don't know what his actual range is.

Would you have call on the turn?; Do you think I made an error?; What do you think about my reasoning?

Thanks


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6 replies
nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

Why not bet after the flop check?


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Macqas
Joined: 25.08.2014

Hi nitrol,

Originally posted by nitrol
Why not bet after the flop check?

As far as I know when you're betting for value on the flop you want to make sure that there are more worse hands that would call your bet than the ones that would fold against it and, in this case I think that doesn't apply (hope not to be wrong)


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nitrol
Joined: 24.07.2010

OK, but why give free cards to AK for example?


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Tomaloc
Joined: 17.01.2011

very sick i would fold pre, guy is tight as fk, 1/89 is sufficiently relevant. as played, flop check is fine for the reasons mentioned.
we end up having to fold turn to that sizing unfortunately :f_biggrin: that said, you "only" need ~45% equity. you NEVER EVER need more than 50% equity when calling for all your chips (disregarding rake)


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Macqas
Joined: 25.08.2014

Hi Tomaloc,

Originally posted by Tomaloc
very sick i would fold pre, guy is tight as fk, 1/89 is sufficiently relevant. as played, flop check is fine for the reasons mentioned.
we end up having to fold turn to that sizing unfortunately :f_biggrin: that said, you "only" need ~45% equity. you NEVER EVER need more than 50% equity when calling for all your chips (disregarding rake)

You're right about the equity needed (missed that). I think both preflop and turn calls are questionable, I will consider folding in the future when in similar spots. Thanks.


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la55i
Joined: 27.01.2013

Turn is a fold :)


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