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[PROMOTION] Guess the Hand [HAND 6]

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Lazza61
Joined: 23.03.2011

Hey guys,

Welcome to our Guess the Hand promotion. Fancy your hand reading skillz? Want to be $50 richer?

Guess the heroine's hand and you could be on your way to riches, or at least the community's admiration for your superior skillz.

All the details of the promotion can be found in the main thread:

https://forums.pokerstrategy.com/forum/thread.php?postid=2294423#post2294423

HAND 6 - You have until 14th March to post your answer.

Spoiler

$1/$2 No Limit Holdem
4 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by WeakTight Poker Hand History Converter
Stacks:
CO ($200) 100bb
BTN Hero ($200) 100bb
SB ($367.41) 184bb
BB ($75) 38bb
Pre-Flop: (3, 4 players) Hero is BTN 9♦: J♦:

CO raises to $6, Hero calls $6, SB calls $5, 1 fold

Flop: Q♦: 8♠: 6♦: ($20, 3 players)
SB checks, CO checks, Hero bets $13.25, SB calls $13.25, CO folds
Turn: A♠: ($46.50, 2)
SB checks, Hero bets $35, SB calls $35
River: 4♠: ($116.50, 2)
SB checks, Hero goes all-in $145.75, SB calls $145.75
Final Pot: $408
Hero shows High card : Ace
9♦: J♦:
SB shows Two pairs : 8 and 6
6♣: 8♣:
SB wins $405.50 (net +$205.50)
Hero lost $200
CO lost $6

Remember all hands close on Monday March 14th.

Good Luck :gl:


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15 replies
NothingIsForSho
Joined: 01.06.2014

88

explanation: bet bet bet for value


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Hesticus
Joined: 24.06.2008
KingKlaas
Joined: 13.12.2008

10J of spades.
Preflop standard call.
Flop and turn try to take down pot with semibluf.
River valueshove.


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DaPhunk
Joined: 01.03.2008

T♦:9♦: and for my reasoning i quote portal;

'well no matter because i'm still holding all the cards, and guess what, they're all full houses....."


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DREAMC4T
Joined: 13.10.2009

79, cbet flop oesd, barrel scarecard A turn with intention to barrel on more of less any river as there are a few pair+draw, big draws that didn't raise and queens that many times will have to fold.


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RaulSenne
Joined: 10.04.2013

66


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vahan4
Joined: 28.05.2013

9♠:7♠:

The bet on the river means a flush, A♦:8♦: or a busted :diamond:flush. She would squeeze 88 or 66 preflop. From backdoor :spade:draws she could bet the Flop with Q♠:6♠: (if called preflop), 7♠:9♠:, maybe 7♠:5♠: and gutshots with two spades. There are more diamond draws (perhaps with a straight draw) in her range.

Villain, like Hero, has very few Flushes in their range, so making a big bluff on the River makes sense for Hero. On the other hand, having a Flush or not having a made hand Villain would lead out on the River, trying to represent a Flush. Also, Villain would raise the Flop/Turn with a two pair or better and maybe fold the River with A♦:4♦:, since there are much less bluffs in Hero's range. The only hand that I can put Villain on is a lone queen, such as Q♥:J♥: with a hero call on the River.

After Villain checks the River, Hero knows that Villain has a lone queen and can value bet a two pair, but perhaps not so large. So the most likely hand for Hero is 9♠:7♠:.


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lycoreus
Joined: 27.01.2012

KQs
Preflop: Standard call.
Flop: She bets for value with top pair and bets above 50% of the pot to scare of any flush or straight draws.
Turn: She has a flush draw so she semibluffs betting high.
River: Standard value bet with the nut flush


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kriko92
Joined: 16.11.2010

There aren't many value hands that shove river, mostly KJ/KT/JT of spades. I'm not sure we shove sets because they are far from the nuts and Qx of spades probably checks back turn. Bluffs are hard to guess... We probably don't want to bluff diamond draws, 79s makes sense but calling preflop is not certain. I choose 79. Bet flop with OESD, ace on the turn is a good card to bet again and we continue on the river because we don't have any showdown value and villain can fold a lot of hands.


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wimNP
Joined: 11.03.2011

K♠:Q♠:


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Lillien
Joined: 12.09.2012

Only 4 people at the table. Preflop she is calling on the button with a really wide range. On the flop when CO missed cbet she bets with 2/3 sizing in multiway. I assume she can do that with the hands like Qx (Q8), 86, sets and fd's (AdJd). On the turn she continues betting but with bigger sizing (3/4). It may indicate improving so I put her on KQ/QJ of spades. I think she doesn't bet 2 pairs/sets on this turn with this sizing so I can exclude them from her range. On the river she goes all-in. I think she has a flush with K♠:Q♠:.


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Brdjan
Joined: 27.12.2010

88
triple barrel for value


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Afulibador
Joined: 21.08.2009

hero: KQs

Good hand to call ip, and this holding does well in mwp.
Bet for value/protection on the flop.
Same for the turn, not letting free cards.
River shoves w the nut flush.


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KQs
hand is good vs CO opening range, flop bet for value and protection, turn opens flush draw and since A came out now she bets more for protection vs other flush draw, river betting with nut.


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Lazza61
Joined: 23.03.2011

$1/$2 No Limit Holdem
4 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by WeakTight Poker Hand History Converter
Stacks:
CO ($200) 100bb
BTN Hero ($200) 100bb
SB ($367.41) 184bb
BB ($75) 38bb
Pre-Flop: (3, 4 players) Hero is BTN 9♦: J♦:

CO raises to $6, Hero calls $6, SB calls $5, 1 fold

Flop: Q♦: 8♠: 6♦: ($20, 3 players)
SB checks, CO checks, Hero bets $13.25, SB calls $13.25, CO folds
Turn: A♠: ($46.50, 2)
SB checks, Hero bets $35, SB calls $35
River: 4♠: ($116.50, 2)
SB checks, Hero goes all-in $145.75, SB calls $145.75
Final Pot: $408
Hero shows High card : Ace
9♦: J♦:
SB shows Two pairs : 8 and 6
6♣: 8♣:
SB wins $405.50 (net +$205.50)
Hero lost $200
CO lost $6

Unfortunately, nobody correctly selected Charlotte's hand.


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