Poker Stars, $0.25/$0.50 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 6 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.
SB: $71.30 (142.6 bb)
BB: $50 (100 bb)
UTG: $50 (100 bb)
MP: $65.10 (130.2 bb)
Hero (CO): $102.99 (206 bb)
BTN: $89.24 (178.5 bb)
Preflop: Hero is CO with T♣: T♥:
2 folds, Hero raises to $1.25, BTN raises to $4.50, 2 folds, Hero calls $3.25
Flop: ($9.75) 8♣: 9♦: 9♥: (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $3.06, Hero calls $3.06
Turn: ($15.87) 3♠: (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $11.76, Hero calls $11.76
River: ($39.39) 3♦: (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN bets $69.92, Hero???
Preflop: BTN looks like a reg, playing 24/18 in 76 hands, 3betting 9,7% (11,1% vs Hero). Standard open and standard defend with TT.
Flop: Standard check/call, I think. He would probably cbet 100% of his range on this board, most likelly with the same sizing.
Turn: I'm not capped here because I have some nuts in my range, but I could be capped in his eyes. He probably puts me on JJ-TT, AK-AQ, 77-44. I think he cbets a big part of his range. I also think that his size looks more like A2s-A7s, AK-AJ than JJ+ A9, T9 or 98 (I think he doesn't have 88 in his range). Overall, I think I should call at least once again.
River: Huge overbet doesn't make sense to me with any value hand, tbh. What worse does he expect to be called with? It smells alot like a bluff. On the other hand, I don't have any read that he is capable of bluffing in this situation. What would you do?