Originally posted by Stackoffski
Hi, I added stats to my first post!
But honestly, looking at that call-down graph makes me think this really is a leak. And I have something to work on now. I think if I stop calling those rivers I'm going to be rich.
You are right, you play very agressive when you are the pre caller. I suggest to check statname.net, where you can filter top players. I bet you won't find any big winner reg who has positive red line. Also check their fold to flop cbet stat. Most of the big winners has more than 50% fold to cbet. (37,3% fold to turn cbet is very small as well. I think you don't have big enough sample to talk about fold to river cbet, but 25% is very small.)
Your call cbet stats are 36,9%, 43,3% and 50% on river. It would be good to know your total call 2bet stat, but from these we can say you call too much against 3 barrels. I have the same leak and had a coaching session yesterday about it, so let's see some examples to better understanding.
Let's starts with you, who has higher cbet stats than average. Total RFI is 25,6%, cbets are 58,4%, 39,7 and 47,7%. Which means you 3 barrels with the top (0,256*0,584*0,397*0,477= )2,83% .
Let's see my stats. Total RFI 28,56%. cbets are 66,78%, 44,32%, 64,82%, which means I 3 barrel with the top (0,2856*0,6678*0,4432*0,6482= ) 5,48%
Biggest winner on NL2 in the last half year (11,6 evbb/100 on 177k hands). Total RFI is 26, 50%, 64%, 45%. Top 3,74%.
Random fish. Tot RFI 31%, cbets 73%, 54%, 36%. He bets a lot, still top 4,4%.
OFC you can check more weaker players in your database as well, but I bet you can see now where we are going: you call 3 barrels against those tight ranges.
You can't see raise cbet stats on staname. If you find a player in your database, who will raise flop cbets only for value, his stat will be around 6-8%. If you see a stat more than 10%, you can expect some bluffs/semi bluffs in his raise cbet range on the flop. IMO you can be a huge winner on NL2-5 without ever raising light in these spots, but you have 27,6%! Raise turn and river stats are high as well, but I am sure you don't have enough sample to talk about them.
I see you posted a lot to hand discussion forum. Based on the stats you posted, if I were you I would filter to situations where I called or raised flop cbet and post hands from those.