99 in BB in a satellite 2 to go to the tickets facing an SB shove

ICM is a huge factor for sure. I don't know how many players are left, but even if this is a final table you can almost fold ITM with 3 extreme short stacks at the table, but with the huge blinds you will lose chips fast as well.

With 2 or more tables left in the tournament this would be a fold with your entire range. Than you can fold in to a seat for sure.

Cheers,
SDK1987

Originally posted by SDK1987
ICM is a huge factor for sure. I don't know how many players are left, but even if this is a final table you can almost fold ITM with 3 extreme short stacks at the table, but with the huge blinds you will lose chips fast as well.

With 2 or more tables left in the tournament this would be a fold with your entire range. Than you can fold in to a seat for sure.

Cheers,
SDK1987

Yeah — I didn't have time to do the math, but I forgot to mention that this was the last hand at this level.
If I fold this, I'm forced all in by the new ante+new SB — and even if I squeak by, I'm all in on the button.

I also didn't check the player list to see who the shortest stacks were, and what position they were.
I'll remember to do that for next time

There were 39 players left, 37 paid.

With that in mind you can't do much else than stacking off if you are forced all-in in the next hand. Indeed checking how your position is compare to other short stacks is important in spots like this.

Originally posted by SDK1987
With that in mind you can't do much else than stacking off if you are forced all-in in the next hand. Indeed checking how your position is compare to other short stacks is important in spots like this.

So noted — thanks!

Clear fold with these stacksizes.
Routine question in sats situations like this: What is your chance of winning if folded and then compare that with your assumed equity.
Here I approx it to over 85% with those other shortstacks