exactly true. he is effectively allowing you to get away cheaply if you whiff. Only investing pre-flop but saving the 1/2 psb on the flop. but this is an argument for shipping it pre with any high card because you might mistakenly fold the best hand when you miss 2/3 of the time. nothing is ever a big mistake when u are this short you are pretty much committed after raising with most of your range.
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I have taken the afternoon off to enjoy the Indian summer we are experiencing here in Britain. A bottle of rosé is chilling in the fridge and I've picked up some extra chorizo sausages to go with the Lincolnshire sausages and chicken pieces we will barbecue shortly. A dressing is already made for the Romaine salad I will throw together at the last minute. In a few moments I'm going across to the green to kick a ball with Mrs Tim64 and little Miss, and the eBay buyer of our old PC finally turned up just now to take it away, handing us a few banknotes in return.
However, the main reason for taking the rest of the day off is that the last couple of days (culminating in this morning's set) have gone well and so, by stopping now I can guarantee to finish the month with a $3K+ profit, something that does all kinds of good for my confidence and contentment levels.
Given that my volume this month was seriously affected by the 10 days abroad, I'm really happy with how it went in the end:
Obviously it would have been nice to get my EV but I suppose I can allow PP to just put the $1200 it owes me for this month on to my running tab...
The low volume means I will be Platinum next month, which is a bit of a shame but no big deal objectively speaking. Hopefully I can get Diamond again in time for Christmas.
STT Tournaments: 576
Average buyin: $37.01
ROI 11.1%
EV Roi 16.6%
Cash: -$30
SnGs: $2374.00
EV Profit @ STTs: $3544.00
Estimated points-based rake back: $520.80
Additional rake back from Accelerator promo: $150.00
Reload bonus (amt cleared): $210.00
Total Profit: $3224.80
Total EV profit (estimated): $4394.8
Hours played: 82.5
$/Hr: 39.08
EV $/Hr: $53.27
I don't think these kind of figures are likely to be replicable long-term but it does show what could be achieved by putting in decent volume, running well and playing well. In the back of my mind, as I went for my morning walk, was the possibility that I may eventually have a month where I earn as much as I used to earn as a lawyer 6 years ago... 
Saving Private Ryan is starting shortly and I will probably start it with the expectation of falling asleep on the sofa after about 10 minutes. Meanwhile, I have been inspired by GodLikeRoy to include more food related things in this blog, so here is dinner:
amazing figures, but can't give more input as you've made me hungry... seeya later 
My first post in here,I just spent like an hour reading your thoughts on the game,mindset,hand evaluation(the QT vs K7 BvB was just masterpiece in terms of thinking process).Keep your head up,as you said, and keep on moving.Wish you best of luck in everything!
this community Okay, so there is this regular that I play against often at the $30s-55s etc. Every time I think I have him pegged as a good/bad player I have to think again.
A few hands to ponder:
Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $200(BB) Replayer
SB ($3,645)
BB ($3,320)
Hero ($5,035)
Dealt to Hero T♦ 4♦
fold, SB raises to $3,645 (AI), BB calls $3,120 (AI)
FLOP ($6,640) 7♦ 9♦ 5♦
TURN ($6,640) 7♦ 9♦ 5♦ 3♠
RIVER ($6,640) 7♦ 9♦ 5♦ 3♠ 8♥
BB shows T♣ A♠
(Pre 63%, Flop 40.7%, Turn 54.5%)
SB shows Q♥ 6♦
(Pre 37%, Flop 59.3%, Turn 45.5%)
SB wins $6,640
I have seen him do this quite often - jamming 15-17 bb on the bubble in the small blind. This particular big blind had re-shoved A9 vs his AJs earlier on the bubble for 13 BB effective and sucked out. Our villain appeared to go on tilt somewhat, shoving seemingly every other hand until his stack got decent again. (i.e. at the point of the above hand).
As to the hand in question, the Nash range for villain's spot is: 50.8%. Even if he thinks his opponent is likely to be calling a lot tighter than Nash, Q6o just seems too lose here and, I venture to say, bad (Nash is Q8o+). I would have (slightly) more sympathy if his opponent had showed up with a piece of junk hand for his earlier resteal. But A9o is pretty decent re-shove versus loose stealers so I don't think our villain should consider himself being exploited if he decided to raise/fold a hand like Q6o in small blind for 17 BB effective.
Furthermore I think he ought to realise that, having shoved so liberally in the hands running up to this one (and getting away with it), his opponent is not going to be folding as much as the perhaps otherwise would. Kudos to BB for having the balls to call off for his tournament life with ATo.
Next hand, having reached the heads up with our villain:
Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $200(BB) Replayer
($6,865)
Hero ($5,135)
Dealt to Hero 6♠ 5♣
Hero calls $100, checks
FLOP ($400) 2♠ 2♣ K♠
checks, Hero bets $220, calls $220
TURN ($840) 2♠ 2♣ K♠ J♦
checks, Hero bets $500, raises to $1,400, Hero calls $900
RIVER ($3,640) 2♠ 2♣ K♠ J♦ 7♣
checks, Hero bets $1,820, folds
Hero shows 6♠ 5♣
Hero wins $3,640
♠_cool: Obviously. But as to the hand I also cannot make up my mind re villain's play.
Maybe it's just classic levelling but what I tend to see in limped pots with paired boards is:
Fish: raise your stab on the flop, realising that you won't have trips very often but not thinking logically about how they would play the hand in reality if they actually had trips themselves.
L1. Regs: call the flop, intending to bet the turn when you check, realising that if they actually had trips they would probably slow play and so the call actually looks scarier than the raise.
L2. Regs: understand that you expect them to float paired boards in the above manner and therefore that you may be barrelling air to prevent this. In which case they either need to double float or check raise the turn.
L3 Regs: realise that it's just so difficult to rep anything on paired board that folding to the flop stab is probably best unless your opponent is quite weak, since anything else just gets expensive.
In the above hand I think that when I didn't check/fold the turn as he hoped he just decided to check/raise the turn repping a deuce. Although I like the fact that he wants to fight for pots, I just think these paired boards are too obvious a spot. Hence my air float and river bet.
Last hand
Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $400(BB) Replayer
Hero ($6,955)
($5,045)
Dealt to Hero A♦ 6♥
raises to $5,045 (AI), Hero calls $4,645
FLOP ($10,090) 3♥ 9♦ 3♦
TURN ($10,090) 3♥ 9♦ 3♦ K♦
RIVER ($10,090) 3♥ 9♦ 3♦ K♦ A♥
Hero shows A♦ 6♥
(Pre 56%, Flop 73.3%, Turn 88.6%)
shows 7♠ 8♦
(Pre 44%, Flop 26.7%, Turn 11.4%)
Hero wins $10,090
Well, I guess for 12.5bb I shouldn't really fault him for shoving Nash, especially having been outplayed two hands earlier.
If any of you would like to give me your thoughts on these hands, to help me label this guy, I would be grateful. His sharkscope is locked, hence the conundrum...
Originally posted by BOBOsvk
switch to MTT SNGs, no ev line, just bad run ♦
So true and if not this is sure to happen.
Ouch! That dinner pic really hurt, after I came back from a football game with nothing to eat at home, tried to order pizza over the phone, none picked up, etc..And now seeing this...Ouch! ♠_confused:
On a side note - congrats for the nice month keep up the good work and what happens to be a very entertaining blog :).
I think hand 2 is spewy on your part unless you have 500+ hands and very good reads on him. For him to be c/c oop and then c/r the turn with air. Man i never see that seriously. He might have had Q9 of spades, or something but i don't think he has air enough. The reason why i think this is esp. spewy is because of the fact that villain is OOP in this hand and therefore more unlikely to do the FPS OOP float with air. Not sure about your turn bet. I guess this can easily be reasoned with reads.
Originally posted by MathhNes
I think hand 2 is spewy on your part unless you have 500+ hands and very good reads on him. For him to be c/c oop and then c/r the turn with air. Man i never see that seriously. He might have had Q9 of spades, or something but i don't think he has air enough. The reason why i think this is esp. spewy is because of the fact that villain is OOP in this hand and therefore more unlikely to do the FPS OOP float with air. Not sure about your turn bet. I guess this can easily be reasoned with reads.
Have about 1.1k hands total. I can't say for certain that my play in hand 2 is good (and I certainly am willing to accept that it may be spew). However, I think the limp/stab is a dynamic peculiar to SnGs (at least I am pretty sure that it happens much less often in cash games). Typically ranges for limp/stabbing are much weaker and aggressive regs usually play back light. Therefore I really do think villain can have ATC here and is not limited to hands with equity. Especially because I won't have very many strong Kx in my limping range, gives additional incentive for him to mess around.
Here is another hand that demonstrate this particular player's proclivity to go crazy with nothing:
Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $40(BB) Replayer
SB ($2,200)
Hero ($2,495)
UTG ($1,640)
UTG+1 ($1,805)
CO ($1,880)
BTN ($1,980)
Dealt to Hero 5♥ A♥
fold, fold, fold, fold, SB raises to $140, Hero calls $100
FLOP ($280) 2♦ 3♥ 7♠
SB bets $150, Hero calls $150
TURN ($580) 2♦ 3♥ 7♠ 4♣
SB checks, Hero bets $235, SB raises to $1,910 (AI), Hero calls $1,675
RIVER ($4,400) 2♦ 3♥ 7♠ 4♣ Q♦
SB shows K♥ J♦
(Pre 39%, Flop 20.2%, Turn 0.0%)
Hero shows 5♥ A♥
(Pre 61%, Flop 79.8%, Turn 100.0%)
Hero wins $4,400
god hes so bad tim.
i think u played both very well. except i probably just MR everything in that hu hand, but what ever no diff. ♦
i would have shown the 6 high just for the lols
Hi Tim
I think this guy thinks he is way better than he actually is. Either that or he thinks you are way worse than you are.
His play makes no sense at all. Its like he is trying to prove that he is capable of making great plays and outsmarting you - clearly not working!
In terms of the two hands you posted, I dont really like the limp HU with any hand usually. That said it does depend on villain and how they usually respond to limp or pfraise. I totally understand your thinking with first hand but for me, its too risky. A6 hand, again, I understand your reasons for calling this but personally, knowing you can outplay this guy, I would prefer to chip away at him a bit first rather than flipping for the win.
BTW what is villain name, hope its not me lol
Originally posted by rhinoneil
Hi Tim
I think this guy thinks he is way better than he actually is. Either that or he thinks you are way worse than you are.
His play makes no sense at all. Its like he is trying to prove that he is capable of making great plays and outsmarting you - clearly not working!
In terms of the two hands you posted, I dont really like the limp HU with any hand usually. That said it does depend on villain and how they usually respond to limp or pfraise. I totally understand your thinking with first hand but for me, its too risky. A6 hand, again, I understand your reasons for calling this but personally, knowing you can outplay this guy, I would prefer to chip away at him a bit first rather than flipping for the win.
BTW what is villain name, hope its not me lol
When are you going to update your blog Mr Rhino?!
Originally posted by rhinoneil
Hi Tim
I think this guy thinks he is way better than he actually is. Either that or he thinks you are way worse than you are.
His play makes no sense at all. Its like he is trying to prove that he is capable of making great plays and outsmarting you - clearly not working!
In terms of the two hands you posted, I dont really like the limp HU with any hand usually. That said it does depend on villain and how they usually respond to limp or pfraise. I totally understand your thinking with first hand but for me, its too risky. A6 hand, again, I understand your reasons for calling this but personally, knowing you can outplay this guy, I would prefer to chip away at him a bit first rather than flipping for the win.
BTW what is villain name, hope its not me lol
I will PM his nick - don't think its fair to 'out' ppl publicly 
Pretty sure I can't fold A6o to this guy's 12.5bb shove. Not only is it a standard Nash call for as much as 20 BB, but we already know this guy shoves at least as wide as Nash. Ofc, I happened to be flipping against his actual hand but when he gets it in with Q6o (which, as we have seen, he will) we are loving it.
edit: main reason we have to call here is that we can only chip away at him if he allows us to play post-flop. If he's just shoving superwide from the button and I'm folding everything but the nuts, I'm being exploited.
But thank you for your comments, both of you.
pps, are you online now? I have Skype up...
Originally posted by Tim64
edit: main reason we have to call here is that we can only chip away at him if he allows us to play post-flop. If he's just shoving superwide from the button and I'm folding everything but the nuts, I'm being exploited.
Nice hands, and nice reasoning with the reads you had. Keep it up Tim ! ♠_grin: