Hi just started a week ago to play 6-max so its rather hard for me to analyse this hand (preflop) but i try my best.
PF:
We have an loose opponent raising 3BB from CO.
Since his PFR on CO should be ~30-32 his range isn't very strong. if he folds to 3B very often (>70%) we can semibluff 3B him alot (with 20-25% as long as he doesn't play back) and 3B with QJo is fine.
If he doesn't fold much (~50%) i wouldn't raise with QJo here.
The Fto3B stat would be nice to know.
If the Villain is unknown i also wouldn't do it
Raise size is good since 3.5 is a little bit more than standard for extra FE.
Villain calls so his range should maybe look like this: TT-22,AQs-AJs,KQs,AQo-AJo
(again not much 6max experience yet)
With this range our QJ is ahead since he doesn't have much Kings in his range.
Equity Win Tie
MP2 32.20% 31.87% 0.33% TT-22, AQs-AJs, KQs, AQo-AJo, KQo
MP3 67.80% 67.46% 0.33% QhJs
Flop:
We make a cbet and he calls. So he will most likely fold his pairs below 8 and AQ (maybe even call since he has a GS and A as outs, so we only exclude the AQo). If the Villain is known for floating all hands are possible, but lets keep it simple because we don't have more infos on the Villain.
Turn:
The 5c doesn't change much and i would check the turn since it's a WA/WB situation. Even if the Villain floats alot i would check since it maybe induces a bluff on River.
Equity Win Tie
MP2 57.34% 57.34% 0.00% TT-88, AQs-AJs, KQs, AJo, KQo
MP3 42.66% 42.66% 0.00% QhJs
As played we make a 1/2 potsize bet which should look weak to the villain because of the small size + The bet nearly commits us to a pot where we most likely are behind in equity.
The Villain calls again and now it looks like we are beatn (maybe called with less because of the betsize):
Equity Win Tie
MP2 95.23% 95.23% 0.00% 88, AJs, KQs, AJo, KQo
MP3 4.77% 4.77% 0.00% QhJs
R:
With the call of Villain on Turn we are definitly beatn and can fold our hand.
what hands do you call the river with ?:
Which hands would we play like this which can call on River? I would only call with Kx+ (not many combinations to 3B, KT+?) since then our equity should be better but we would maybe play the turn different so it's a hard question.