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6max- KJ dry paired board

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Whysoseriouz
Joined: 07.05.2011

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $20(BB) Replayer
SB ($1,420)
BB ($1,600)
UTG ($1,500)
Hero ($1,500)
CO ($1,500)
BTN ($1,480)

Dealt to Hero K♦ J♠

fold, Hero raises to $60, fold, fold, SB calls $50, fold

FLOP ($140) 7♠ J♣ 3♣

SB bets $120, Hero calls $120

TURN ($380) 7♠ J♣ 3♣ 7♦

SB checks, Hero bets $180, SB calls $180

RIVER ($740) 7♠ J♣ 3♣ 7♦ 6♥

SB checks, Hero checks

SB - VPIP: 78, PFR: 22, 3B: 29, AF: 2.4, Hands: 27

flop, i'm in position, flop is dry, villain is aggressive enough so i think flatting is ok. a bit worried about his donk and size. he doen't lead out turn, which can be tricky or he has nothing. I think this is a good turn card for me. i really dont like his flat call. Anyways in river i dont think i can get a lot of value, maybe weaker J. what is best line?


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2 replies
AA91EST
Joined: 16.11.2009

Flop call is good.
On turn bet a bigger, i think he still holding a lot of gutshots(i think with that hands he would lead-out on flop T9, 8T, 89, 45,56, 64) and flushdraws. I would bet like 210-250.
On River some draws completed but alot of draws miss, still i would go for value bet there, and he still calls our value bet in river with worst Jx hands and maybe with some 6x hands what he called in turn. I would bet 400 in river.


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chenny8888
Joined: 03.10.2007

Hi all,

Flop's good. These flop leads are often to "see where he's at" where if you raise him he just ends up folding a lot of worse hands.

Turn I would bet more. He can have a couple gutshots, random flushdraws etc that you should charge him to continue with. I would make it 240-260 and plan on folding to a raise.

River as played: he can still easily have bad Jx in his range. With TPGK here you can check back against a decent player who takes this line (but they don't), however against a fish like this you should valuebet. Into 740, I'd make it 520 or so and get value from their Jx hands.


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