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[Closed] top 2 + nut blockers bluffin?

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DRONeRPD
Joined: 13.08.2007

Villain reg 24/16 cb flop 72%, turn-53 WTS 30%
Is this a good spot to bluff against FD, low str8?
Grabbed by Holdem Manager
PL Omaha $1(BB) Replayer
SB ($89.50)
BB ($188)
UTG ($100)
UTG+1 ($100)
Hero ($241)
BTN ($90.38)

Dealt to Hero T♦ J♦ T♣ 9♦

fold, UTG+1 raises to $3.50, Hero calls $3.50, fold, SB calls $3, fold

FLOP ($11.50) 9♥ 6♥ 8♦

SB checks, UTG+1 bets $7, Hero calls $7, SB folds

TURN ($25.50) 9♥ 6♥ 8♦ J♠

UTG+1 bets $20, Hero raises to $85.50, UTG+1 raises to $89.50 (AI), Hero calls $4


3 replies
Ribbo
Joined: 25.06.2010

I typically fold this flop since I only have 6 outs from 40.
On turn I sometimes play the same way, top 2 is showdown potential given his cbet percentages and we have blockers to the straight. This play generally needs a history though.
That said I don't expect an opponent to fold to the raise, so often I will call the turn and stack off a non heart river.


DRONeRPD
Joined: 13.08.2007

Originally posted by Ribbo
I typically fold this flop since I only have 6 outs from 40.

I think this flop is quite good to float guy with 72% cbet, am I wrong?


Ribbo
Joined: 25.06.2010

Originally posted by DRONeRPD

Originally posted by Ribbo
I typically fold this flop since I only have 6 outs from 40.

I think this flop is quite good to float guy with 72% cbet, am I wrong?

Given he follows through on the turn 75% of the time after betting the flop, it's still unprofitable since we will be folding on 80% of turn cards.

Floating is profitable mainly against players who don't follow through on the turn (ie they bluff one street then give up)