Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $0.50(BB) Replayer
SB ($20.75)
BB ($14.50)
Hero ($50)
UTG+1 ($61.75)
CO ($42.80)
BTN ($52.65)
Dealt to Hero A♥ Q♣
Hero raises to $2, fold, CO calls $2, fold, fold, fold
FLOP ($4.75) 9♠ 2♦ Q♥
Hero bets $4, CO calls $4
TURN ($12.75) 9♠ 2♦ Q♥ J♠
Hero checks, CO checks
RIVER ($12.75) 9♠ 2♦ Q♥ J♠ T♥
Hero checks, CO bets $12.75, Hero folds
CO wins $12.15
villain is a regular 29/20/2, wts 30, 500 hands, 3b 8%
I would give villain a range for calling my pot size cb on this flop something like:{99,9Ts,J9s,AQ,KQ,22,TJ,KTs, QJs}. Does this seem about right?
I have about 52.9% equity versus this range on the turn. Given that we would have to fold to a raise now, is it worth value betting again? is my turn play too weak?
Against the above range, on the River I have only 8% equity so check/fold seems correct.
thanks