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[Closed] QQ77ds

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DRONeRPD
Joined: 13.08.2007

Opp regular 33/19 fold 2 3-bet 6 fold 2 cb 3-bet pot 44%
On flop I often have best hand but flop is quite good to make some crazy things IP like raising cb. I think opp often will be tempted not to raise so small bet and insetad make float. On the turn I have 150 in effective stack and 150 into pot. If he folds occasionally it should be good push cause we have at least 2 out and often fd is quite good too.
What about line?
Grabbed by Holdem Manager
PL Omaha $2(BB) Replayer
Hero ($273)
BB ($156)
UTG ($91.10)
CO ($995)
BTN ($200)

Dealt to Hero 7♦ Q♠ 7♠ Q♦

fold, fold, BTN raises to $7, Hero raises to $23, fold, BTN calls $16

FLOP ($48) J♦ 2♦ J♣

Hero bets $27, BTN calls $27

TURN ($102) J♦ 2♦ J♣ K♣

Hero checks, BTN bets $50, Hero raises to $222,


1 reply
Ribbo
Joined: 25.06.2010

On the turn you're risking $150 to win $150. If he calls you might have 20% equity of $400 so you need $70 of fold equity to be break even on the turn shove.

BTN has $100 to call to win a $400 pot. He needs to fold 25% of the time for your shove to be break even given the $70 of fold equity you need to win $300.

It's close. Obviously if a king did not hit it would be a lot more likely for this to be correct as KJxx hands can be in his range which would have you drawing to 2 outs. J2J6 would be a much better board to make this play on.

Overall I like it so long as you're planning on staying at the table as it's great for your image and pretty EV neutral if you know opponent will float the flop.