Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $0.50(BB) Replayer
SB ($86.98)
BB ($50)
UTG ($93.58)
UTG+1 ($22.70)
UTG+2 ($51.75)
Hero ($49.25)
MP2 ($108)
MP3 ($49.04)
CO ($60.02)
BTN ($51.65)
Dealt to Hero Q♣ Q♠
fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $2, fold, MP3 calls $2, fold, BTN calls $2, fold, fold
FLOP ($6.75) 3♦ 8♠ 3♥
Hero bets $4, MP3 calls $4, BTN calls $4
TURN ($18.75) 3♦ 8♠ 3♥ 3♣
Hero bets $11.50, MP3 folds, BTN calls $11.50
RIVER ($41.75) 3♦ 8♠ 3♥ 3♣ 8♦
Hero bets $31.75 (AI), BTN calls $31.75
Villian is 13/10/28 (VPIP/PFR/AFQ) after 2.2 k hands. His fold to cbet is 50% to 2nd barell 50% and 67% to river barell.
His AFq on river is only 16%.
What would you do on river???Do you still value bet here QQ or just check fold would be better here cause he never bets here 99-JJ?? I won a spot with him boat vs boat couple hands before that one so I thought he might be little blit tilty.
I didn't expect him to have there many 3x (almost none except maybe A3s cause fish also entered the pot). I thought that he fold his 89 or 78 against turn 2nd barell.
The problem is that he isn't particullary aggresive on the river so I don't know if I will be called often enough to justify my bet there...(67% fold to river cbet/ AFq 16%)
