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[Closed] c/r, lead or try 2 hit ? NL100 RUSH

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getdotacom
Joined: 06.04.2008

Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

Play hand

$0.5/$1 No-Limit Hold'em (9 handed)

Known players:
[tg]MP2$68.65:///////;MP3$105.00:///////;CO$100.50:///////;BU$105.85:///////;SB$125.15:///////;BB (Hero)$186.65:///////;UTG1$105.90:///////;UTG2$102.40:///////;MP1$151.45:///////;[/tg]

Preflop: Hero is BB with A:s, 4:s.
2 folds, MP1 raises to $3.50, MP2 folds, MP3 calls $3.50, 2 folds, SB calls $3.00, Hero calls $2.50.

Flop: ($14) 6:c, 6:s, 5:s (4 players)
SB checks, Hero checks, MP1 bets $10.50, MP3 calls $10.50, SB folds, Hero calls $10.50.

Turn: ($45.5) 3:c (3 players)
Hero bets $30.00, MP1 folds, MP3 folds, Hero gets uncalled bet back.

Final Pot: $45.5.

both villains like 15/8 guys
If I c/r flop I don't rep much, leading turn seems much stronger IMO. I don't expect them to bet with overpairs very often after I overcall from BB, but just trying to hit seems too weak. OFC it sucks, if one of them shoves...


3 replies
Anssi
Joined: 03.07.2008

Squeeeeezeeee.


getdotacom
Joined: 06.04.2008

I don't like squeezing hands like A4s, coz they have good playability postflop IMO. I rather squeeze K4s or AJo


Bierbaer
Joined: 27.05.2005

I'm also squeezing. There are 11BB in the pot already, and vs the preflopraiser you should have something like 70%+ foldequity (if he raises 10% and continues with 3%).

If you make it 17, you'd need 16/28 = ~60% foldequity.
So in a vacuum this is only about +1BB in EV, but you'll have sme foldequity postflop.

Btw you compromise your own statement: You flop the NFD on a lowcard board which is the very best case you can hope for because it allows so many worse FDs and straightdraws - and yet you say you can't rep anything and c/c.

Btw I disagree with this and would certainly c/r here - we can rep a 6 perfectly and if they're drawing I want to get as much money into the pot as possible because we're crushing worse FDs and if we get it in vs something like JJ+ we still have 41% equity, but I think JJ+ is either folding on the flop or to a turnbet.