Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $0.25(BB) Full Tilt
SB ($25)
BB ($26.88)
Hero ($30.86)
UTG+1 ($30.70)
CO ($25)
BTN ($61.72)
Dealt to Hero Q♦ J♦
Hero raises to $0.85, fold, CO calls $0.85, fold, fold, fold
FLOP ($2.05) T♥ 9♣ 3♦
Hero bets $1.25, CO raises to $3.75, Hero calls $2.50
TURN ($9.55) T♥ 9♣ 3♦ 7♥
Hero checks, CO bets $7, Hero raises to $26.26 (AI), CO calls $13.40 (AI)
RIVER ($50.35) T♥ 9♣ 3♦ 7♥ 6♣
CO shows T♣ A♣
(Pre 58%, Flop 50.4%, Turn 68.2%)
Hero shows Q♦ J♦
(Pre 42%, Flop 49.6%, Turn 31.8%)
CO wins $47.84
How is my bluff?
Villain is 19/16 in 40 hands, playing 10+ tables.
I put villain on a weak range when he raises me on the flop (a weak ten, or something along those lines).
Should I give up on the turn when he bets so much? When I go all in I give villain pot odds of 28%.
I thought for a bit to 3bet the flop and I guess this would have been the better option -> 3bet to $10 and call a shove. Against the weak range that I assign villain I have at least 40% equity. (against AT alone I have ~50%, a flip) But when we add the 3bet fold equity we should turn a profit.