[Closed] NL2 calling all in on flush draw+gut

hi oribken,

Best play is just to b/f pf, since KTs isn´t really ahead his 3-betting range
Postflop I think both plays are fine, either c/rai or b/c

First post. I'll make an introduction post or blog at some point in time about my foray into uNL (played Limit back in '03).

On the flop. if you're calling all-in, that's 0.72 to win 2.65 (27.1% of the pot including your call) or 1-to-2.86

You have:
9 outs to make the nut flush
4 outs to make your nut inside straight draw (one of which, gives you a royal flush)

There is no possibility for your opponent to have an open-ended straight draw and any flush draw he holds will be weaker than your flush draw.

So these are 13 strong outs. That gives you a probability of 48.10% (1.08 : 1) for spiking your monster.

1:2.83 < 1:1.08, therefore call the all-in flop raise.

Is my thinking correct?

hi l33tNinja,

Is my thinking correct?
- yes

Hero gets too good pot odds to fold against flop c/rai as strong hand as royal draw

Hello oribken,

Preflop: Fold the hand preflop. It's not the greatest hand to play that kind of hand in FR. Don't raise them. You mostly will be playing OOP. As played fold to the 3bet, what kind of range do you beat here which 3bets?
If you are against a strong range then you are far-far behind:

       Equity     Win     Tie
UTG    27.94%  27.52%   0.42% { KcTc }
UTG+1  72.06%  71.63%   0.42% { TT+, AKs, AKo }

As played
Postflop: Yeah, l33tNinja math calculations, they are correct but now again we can't count all the outs are very clean outs. Why? Just for the reason that he might have a set which means with runner-runner or even with one card he could catch either QUADs or FH. Although now again our equity needed as you wrote is totally correct and for that reason we can go broke here. But now again I wouldn't donk myself, rather just Check/Shove. Equity we get against made hands:

Board: 4♠A♣Q♣
       Equity     Win     Tie
UTG    41.66%  41.49%   0.17% { KcTc }
UTG+1  58.34%  58.17%   0.17% { AA, QQ, AQs+, AQo+ }

Best regards.