[Closed] PLO1k Brakeeven call or?

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Last Post by Ribbo 15 years ago

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nubbe2

Joined: 08.04.2009

Posts: 548

27.06.2011, 10:05 0

Havn't seen Villian before, seems ok but a bit aggro pre and some mistakes postflop.

36/20/6,8 small sample

Seen 3bet KsT98s on the BTN vs Utg raise and then checkback 873

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
PL Omaha $10(BB) Replayer
SB ($507)
BB ($1,384)
UTG ($2,141)
UTG+1 ($1,957)
CO ($2,720)
Hero ($1,799)

Dealt to Hero 7♠ T♥ A♠ 8♣

fold, UTG+1 raises to $35, CO calls $35, Hero calls $35, fold, BB raises to $180, UTG+1 calls $145, CO calls $145, Hero calls $145

FLOP ($725) 6♠ 3♣ A♥

BB bets $725, UTG+1 folds, CO folds, Hero raises to $1,619 (AI), BB calls $479 (AI)

We do get EQ to call but not shoving , but what cards do we really fold on turn?
None spade K,Q,J?

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1 reply

Ribbo

Joined: 25.06.2010

Posts: 6,151

27.06.2011, 16:43 0

Given the villain here checked back KsT98s on an 873 flop when in position (a flop which is clearly great for him but he was too scared to take a shot), what do you believe he is betting out on this flop into 3 people?

I'm inclined to believe it's a real powerhouse and not some marginal hand that's going to flip.

The preflop call is completely standard for sure, given you are in position and closing the action, so the question is does villain fire out this flop with hands like 4567 or KK45 or does he always have a better ace at the very least here...

Given the one hand you provided, not cbetting top pair with a reasonable draw, says to me that the guy is going to need at least 2 pair to fire out into 3 opponents. I think it's a fold on this flop.

Of course you can never fold the turn with only $480 left realistically if you do call with this, but if we put villain on Ax then I think it's a flop fold rather than a turn fold.

With all that said however if villain is aggro then i'm fine closing the action with a shove on this flop. This could easily be a preflop squeeze with rundowns where he has hit a pair on the flop and is hoping everyone gives him credit for aces.