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[Closed] River decision

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EdVardenis
Joined: 13.12.2009

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $0.10(BB) Replayer
SB ($10)
BB ($10.99)
UTG ($4)
UTG+1 ($8.84)
UTG+2 ($10)
MP1 ($2.43)
Hero ($10.80)
BTN ($5.25)

Dealt to Hero K♠ K♦

fold, UTG+1 calls $0.10, fold, fold, Hero raises to $0.40, fold, fold, BB calls $0.30, UTG+1 calls $0.30

FLOP ($1.25) J♣ T♣ 5♦

BB checks, UTG+1 checks, Hero bets $0.95, BB calls $0.95, UTG+1 folds

TURN ($3.15) J♣ T♣ 5♦ Q♦

BB bets $2.20, Hero calls $2.20

RIVER ($7.55) J♣ T♣ 5♦ Q♦ T♦

BB bets $7.44 (AI)

At first I was thinking about fold, but now I think that It would be brake even call?

www.pokerstrategy.com
Board: JcTc5dQdTd
Equity Win Tie
MP2 33.33% 33.33% 0.00% { KdKc }
MP3 66.67% 66.67% 0.00% { JJ-TT, KQs, QJs, JTs, 98s, AcQc }


1 reply
veriz
Joined: 20.07.2008

Hello EdVardenis,

Doubt that he is shipping there with a lot worse. Rather has strong hand hands.

Against some passive opponents I might even fold it on turn while we were multiway on flop and usually floating on that kind of board may easily even indicate to rather strength.

Also I really doubt that he would ever play just TP of Qx like that unless he is spewing away money.

Best regards.