[Closed] flop a monster draw and fold

You flopped a big one.

I would have probably shipped it. We should be deciding what type of flop you would go crazy for before entering the pot, and I think that that was the right flop to do it.

You said you were flipping, but what does equilab say when its multiway like this? I think we have tons of equity to go broke here. Not sure, too lazy to run equilab.

i know shipping it is not wronge our odds are very good we are getting 2:1 and thats what we need for flush and OESD!

what i dont know is if its wronge to fold!

Imo ship it on the flop because if UTG+1 is cbetting an overpair which is likely due to his large bet size, it's tough for him to call a raise and then a shove, so you have good fold equity vs. him. CO looks strong when he is raising, I think his range is mostly sets with overpairs and monster draws, and you have enough equity vs. his range to ship it in. Even if you shove and UTG+1 calls, your equity looks like this:

Board: 2♠5♠8♣
       Equity     Win     Tie
UTG+1  32.47%  32.26%   0.21% { 77+, 55, AsKs, AsQs, KsQs, AsJs }
CO     24.62%  24.41%   0.21% { JJ-88, 55, 22, A8s, KJs+, QJs, AsQs, AsJs, AsTs, As9s, As7s, As6s }
BB     42.91%  42.91%   0.00% { 4s3s }

If UTG folds, you might have something like this:

Board: 2♠5♠8♣
       Equity     Win     Tie
CO     48.71%  48.71%   0.00% { JJ-88, 55, 22, A8s, KJs+, QJs, AsQs, AsJs, AsTs, As9s, As7s, As6s }
BB     51.29%  51.29%   0.00% { 4s3s }

Even if you're only up against sets:

Board: 2♠5♠8♣
       Equity     Win     Tie
CO     58.22%  58.22%   0.00% { 88, 55, 22 }
BB     41.78%  41.78%   0.00% { 4s3s }

So you have a huge amount of equity on that flop.

I snap call here

Hello w4terman,

Well, first of all I'd start with donking with our hand. We might even have fold equity there. But about the play. If we consider the UTG be pretty fishy and most likely calling also with his almost pot size betting hand. Then I'd Call there and invite him into the pot to get even better pot equity. Plus of course if he ships then we are getting very good equity. We rather would like to have both opponents in the pot. Since if we are getting only CO then we would need ~43% equity. But with the other guy in the pot we would need ~34% equity for break-even. For both cases:

Against 2 opponents, we are doing profitable.

Board: 2♠5♠8♣
       Equity     Win     Tie
UTG+1   5.55%   5.55%   0.00% { 99+ }
CO     53.96%  53.96%   0.00% { 88, 55, 22 }
BB     40.49%  40.49%   0.00% { 4s3s }

Against 1 opponent:

Board: 2♠5♠8♣
       Equity     Win     Tie
CO     58.22%  58.22%   0.00% { 88, 55, 22 }
BB     41.78%  41.78%   0.00% { 4s3s }

We practically are near break-even. Since it's very likely according his line that he has a set there. Therefore for conclusion I'd just Call and invite the loose opponent to hop in.

Best regards.