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[Closed] NL 4 SH: TP on scary board

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Meras18
Joined: 28.09.2008

Known players:
[tg]Position_Stack:hands/vp$ip/RaisePreflop/AF/WTS/ORL/BBvsSteal/W$SD;MP2$2,89:04/25/0/-/100/0/-/0;Hero$4,16:///////;[/tg]
0,02/0,04 No-Limit Hold'em (6 handed)
Hand recorder used for this poker hand: PokerStrategy.com Elephant 0.102 by www.pokerstrategy.com.

Preflop: Hero is CO with A♣, K♦
MP2 calls $0,04, MP3 folds, Hero raises to $0,20, 3 folds, MP2 calls $0,16.

Flop: ($0,46) K♣, Q♣, 7♥ (2 players)
MP2 checks, Hero bets $0,32, MP2 raises to $0,76, Hero calls $0,44.

Turn: ($1,98) 7♣ (2 players)
MP2 raises $1,93 (All-In), Hero calls $1,93.

River: ($5,84) J♣ (2 players)

Final Pot: $5,84

The 7 :club: can give villain a Flush, FH or Quads. But I don't think he would push any of these hands, he would rather c/r. I think he pushes weak flush draws and Midpairs (QQ). So I decided to call.

Even if he sometimes have the FH or Quads it's a coin flip and I get 2:1 odds on his push:

Board: 7♥K♣Q♣ 7♣
       Equity     Win     Tie
MP2    44.42%  44.42%   0.00% { QQ, 77, 6c5c, QdJc, QhJc, QsJc, QcJd, QcJh, QcJs, QdTc, QhTc, QsTc, QcTd, QcTh, QcTs }
MP3    55.58%  55.58%   0.00% { AcKd }

So the call is fine, isn't it? ;)


2 replies
cpers
Joined: 17.04.2011

I think it's a bad call. With only four sample, practically this guy is unknown.


veriz
Joined: 20.07.2008

Hello Meras18,

Against his stack rather just get it in right on flop where FD/SD anything is possible. And obviously even worse pairs/Kx hands.

Best regards.


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