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[Closed] NL25 KQs river decision vs aggro donk

2 Posts
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PickoCro
Joined: 14.04.2009

Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

Play hand

$0.1/$0.25 No-Limit Hold'em (8 handed)

Known players:
[tg]BB$12.50:///////;UTG2$7.15:///////;MP1$6.58:///////;MP2$7.15:///////;MP3$14.06:///////;CO (Hero)$53.28:///////;BU$41.85:///////;SB$30.67:///////;[/tg]

Preflop: Hero is CO with Q:d, K:d.
4 folds, Hero raises to $0.75, 2 folds, BB calls $0.50.

Flop: ($1.6) 7:s, 6:c, 4:d (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets $1.00, BB calls $1.00.

Turn: ($3.6) 5:d (2 players)
BB bets $2.56, Hero calls $2.56.

River: ($8.72) 8:s (2 players)
BB raises to $8.19(All-In), Hero calls $8.19.

Final Pot: $25.1.

Results follow:

BB shows a straight, nine high(Kc 9s).
Hero shows a straight, eight high(Qd Kd).

BB wins with a straight, nine high(Kc 9s).

Ok so this guy was playing almost every hand (54/20 over 100 hands) and was bluffing all the time, he d donkbet flop turn river with air and stupid stuff like that all the time (his AF was 78)... So my question is i know i shouldn t be calling the river only to chop, but can i really fold against this type of opponent?


1 reply
Bierbaer
Joined: 27.05.2005

He needs to be bluffing 8.19 / (8.19 + ( 8.72 / 2 ) ) = 0.656 = 65.6% of the time to make this a breakeven-call.

Imo there are only few nines in his range, it's much more likely he's turning some 1pair or 2pair hand into a bluff or he was bluffing in the first place, so as played I'd call the river.

But I think I'm not even getting in this situation - on the turn you have a lot of equity but no SD-value, so I think shoving the turn yourself is better than calling.

Generally against such overaggro players the way to counter them is simple:
- SD-value -> play passive, i.e. call to induce
- Equity but no SD-value -> play aggressive, i.e. raise either flop or turn
- neither equity not SD-value -> fold!