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[Closed] 4B pot nfd+2 overs 140bb deep

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Dublimax
Joined: 22.11.2008

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $1(BB) Replayer
SB ($76.50)
BB ($210) VP:33/PFR:10/AF:2.2/WTSD:28/Flop C/R:6
Hero ($140)
UTG+1 ($179)
CO ($25.50)
BTN ($9)

Dealt to Hero K♣ A♣

Hero raises to $3.50, fold, fold, BTN raises to $9 (AI), fold, BB calls $8, Hero raises to $24, BB calls $15

FLOP ($57.50) Q♣ 3♣ 7♥

BB checks, Hero bets $17.50, BB raises to $40, Hero raises to $116 (AI), BB calls $76.95

TURN ($291) Q♣ 3♣ 7♥ 3♦

RIVER ($291) Q♣ 3♣ 7♥ 3♦ 4♥

I think it is pretty standart till his C/R.
Giving him a pretty tight, yet realistic, range I have 38% equity and I shove 99 to win 288 so 29%

Board: Qc3c7h
Equity Win Tie
MP2 38.09% 38.09% 0.00% { AcKc }
MP3 61.91% 61.91% 0.00% { QQ, 77, AQs, AQo }

It looks like I have the odds to shove. But I also have the odds to flat cal since he gives me greta odds (4.29/1).

Which line do you prefer?


2 replies
Bierbaer
Joined: 27.05.2005

I'd check the flop.
He is a fish but he's not superloose - and he first coldcalls a 3bet and then he goes ahead and calls your 4bet OOP.
So imo his range is very strong and I therefore don't expect to have much foldequity on the flop.

As played and given the range you assigned to him you have a call for odds&outs on the flop unless you expect him to fold AQ to your shove (imo there is no way he's folding).


Shevtshenko
Joined: 06.12.2009

Imo, flatting isn't out of question here, given that you're ip. Also, don't think your 4b sizing is very good, since it usually tightens villain's range considerably compared to ~2x 4b, which would prly be my std here.

i prly call the F c/r, since i don't think you have any fe on F and villain's range is AQ+. On a non-improving turn i'm folding.