Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $1(BB) Replayer
SB ($76.50)
BB ($210) VP:33/PFR:10/AF:2.2/WTSD:28/Flop C/R:6
Hero ($140)
UTG+1 ($179)
CO ($25.50)
BTN ($9)
Dealt to Hero K♣ A♣
Hero raises to $3.50, fold, fold, BTN raises to $9 (AI), fold, BB calls $8, Hero raises to $24, BB calls $15
FLOP ($57.50) Q♣ 3♣ 7♥
BB checks, Hero bets $17.50, BB raises to $40, Hero raises to $116 (AI), BB calls $76.95
TURN ($291) Q♣ 3♣ 7♥ 3♦
RIVER ($291) Q♣ 3♣ 7♥ 3♦ 4♥
I think it is pretty standart till his C/R.
Giving him a pretty tight, yet realistic, range I have 38% equity and I shove 99 to win 288 so 29%
Board: Qc3c7h
Equity Win Tie
MP2 38.09% 38.09% 0.00% { AcKc }
MP3 61.91% 61.91% 0.00% { QQ, 77, AQs, AQo }
It looks like I have the odds to shove. But I also have the odds to flat cal since he gives me greta odds (4.29/1).
Which line do you prefer?