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PlO8 25 (A2T)K

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BU: Somewhat of a maniac
CO and HJ: Passive short stacks

Flop: I want to continue since I have good equity and turn playability. Not sure whether to check/call or donk.

River: Whats the best bet sizing here? I think large to maxamize fold equity vs AAxx and random 2 pairs. I dont think the large size will cause him to fold stuff like JTA2. What are you doing if he shoves over my bet?

Poker Stars $0.10/$0.25 Pot Limit Omaha Hi/Lo - 6 players -

Hero (SB): $49.19
BB: $7.50
UTG: $14.86
MP: $9.89
CO: $11.00
BTN: $69.40

Pre Flop: ($0.35) Hero is SB with T :club: 2 :club: K :diamond: A :club:
1 fold, MP calls $0.25, CO calls $0.25, BTN raises to $1.35, Hero calls $1.25, 1 fold, MP calls $1.10, CO calls $1.10

Flop: ($5.65) Q :heart: 7 :club: K :spade: (4 players)
Hero checks, MP checks, CO checks, BTN bets $5.37, Hero calls $5.37, MP folds, CO folds

Turn: ($16.39) 3 :club: (2 players)
Hero checks, BTN checks

River: ($16.39) 4 :heart: (2 players)
Hero bets $15.59, BTN calls $15.59


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1 reply
Ribbo
Joined: 25.06.2010

I like the preflop call, but only because you're 200 bets deep. If you were 100 bets I would say this is a definite 3 bet full pot, even from the small blind. However I am also happy for the limpers to come along for the ride, and by calling, if anyone was sandbagging with AA (knowing that BTN would raise preflop) this saves us money (it would surely suck to 3 bet preflop only to have a limper 4 bet).

Flop I am checkraising. This is a big flop for us. Top pair, top kicker, gutshot straight, backdoor flush draw and backdoor nut low draw.

We have good equity against AA and amazing equity against A2.

board: K♠ Q♥ 7♣

A♣ K♦ T♣ 2♣ 45.85%
AA** 54.15%

But of course his hand doesn't just include those, it also includes garbage low cards that are going to take a free turn card plus KK and QQ where we can still get lucky for half.

board: K♠ Q♥ 7♣

A♣ K♦ T♣ 2♣ 75.05%
A2** 24.95%

Turn card: One of the best cards in the deck, definitely donk bet full pot this turn card. If you check you are setting yourself up for a negative freeroll (where villain bets when you are behind and villain checks when you are ahead). To avoid this you must donk bet this card.

River: Obviously you have to bet full pot and hope he looks you up with A2. I am never folding to a raise since he will raise hands like 2356/A56x which I would all expect him to check behind with on the turn. If he had A2 he probably bets again on that turn card if he has any pair for high, so I certainly don't expect you to be getting quartered here.

All the hands that beat you would bet this turn card (A247 / A2Q7 / AA26) etc.


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