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NL100 2nd nuts vs mega fish otr

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PickoCro
Joined: 14.04.2009

Hand converted with online PokerStrategy.com hand converter:

Play hand

$0.5/$1 No-Limit Hold'em (8 handed)

Known players:
[tg]MP3$31.64:///////;CO$25.50:///////;BU$125.46:///////;SB$72.13:///////;BB$135.20:///////;UTG2$29.09:///////;MP1$28.77:///////;MP2 (Hero)$117.91:///////;[/tg]

Preflop: Hero is MP2 with A:c, K:h.
2 folds, Hero raises to $3.00, 2 folds, BU calls $3.00, 2 folds, BB folds.

Flop: ($7.5) Q:h, 5:c, J:h (2 players)
Hero bets $5.00, BU calls $5.00.

Turn: ($17.5) 2:h (2 players)
Hero checks, BU checks.

River: ($17.5) 4:h (2 players)
Hero bets $11.00, BU raises to $22.00, Hero calls $11.00.

Final Pot: $61.5.

Results follow:

Hero shows a flush, king high(Ac Kh).
BU shows a flush, queen high(Ts Th).

Hero wins with a flush, king high(Ac Kh).

Villian is an ultra fish (55, 5, 200 hands), you know the type that would play a6 on a aj2 board like it s the nuts? Also he made some pretty weird plays like limp 4betting q9s (yes, you read it right, limp 4beting and then showing q9s).

So basically my question is (don t know if it s dumb or not), ofc i m never folding the river but should i push? It s such a sick spot if you think about it... I am certain that he would call something like a 7 high flush+, but if i pushed and he showed an ace high flush i would kill myself... I d never even consider raising against a normal opponent but he is so bad i actually think i lost some value here...

Any advice is welcome...


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1 reply
Bierbaer
Joined: 27.05.2005

First of all I'd bet 7 on the flop for value given the amount of equity + implied odds we have.

On the turn I'd bet again because even vs TP we have 38% equity. Since his range is probably extremely wide, we will also have some foldequity, but even if we don't we'll make up for it because we can valuebet the river bigger due to the bigger pot - and the plan is to bet any T, heart, K and A.

Once you hit the flush on the river I think you should bet bigger vs him, I'd make it $15.

When he minraises I agree that usually it's a call at most, but vs him it's better to reraise.
I'm not sure if he'd actually call a shove with a 7high flush, but if we make it smaller he most certainly will.

About "if i pushed and he showed an ace high flush i would kill myself":
Ahx is part of his range!
Ofc he will sometimes have it, but that doesn't matter whatsoever - your focus must lie on maximizing value vs his range.


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