Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $0.25(BB) Replayer
Hero ($37.03)
BB ($21.54)
UTG ($29.95)
UTG+1 ($25.05)
CO ($4.94)
BTN ($31.56)
Dealt to Hero A♦ A♥
fold, UTG+1 raises to $1.25, fold, fold, Hero raises to $3.75, fold, UTG+1 calls $2.50
FLOP ($7.75) A♠ Q♥ 3♥
Hero bets $3.25, UTG+1 raises to $11.50, Hero calls $8.25
TURN ($30.75) A♠ Q♥ 3♥ A♣
Hero checks, UTG+1 checks
RIVER ($30.75) A♠ Q♥ 3♥ A♣ 3♣
Hero checks, UTG+1 checks
Hero shows A♦ A♥
(Pre 80%, Flop 99.9%, Turn 100.0%)
Villian is 45/15 with an agg factor of 1.7. He is raising flop cbets 33% of the time.
My thinking is that he is representing sets and strong Ax hand (which i on turn know is not in his range) with which he will bet turn or river anyway. Otherwise the raise is a bluff and will fold to my aggression anyway, so i decided to bluffcatch. Should i just bet river and hope for an wierd call or should i just have shoved the flop in the first place?
