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NL100 AJs

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axelphoney
Joined: 03.10.2009

Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $1(BB) Replayer
SB ($100)
BB ($220)
UTG ($219)
UTG+1 ($116)
CO ($113)
Hero ($124)

Dealt to Hero A♣ J♣

fold, fold, fold, Hero raises to $3, fold, BB raises to $9, Hero calls $6

FLOP ($18.50) A♠ K♠ 3♦

BB bets $12, Hero calls $12

TURN ($42.50) A♠ K♠ 3♦ 9♥

BB bets $21, Hero calls $21

RIVER ($84.50) A♠ K♠ 3♦ 9♥ 6♥

BB bets $178 (AI) Hero? (~82$ left)

villain: 30/13/3/21 (VPIP/PFR/AF/WTS), 9% 3bet in total (whereas 11% is resteal from BB). 90% cbet flop 3bet pot (10)
notes:
200BB stacks - l/c QJo - c/C Q87r, c/c 3o, c/r all in Jo
Passive with draws (against PFR, i.e goes into c/C mode)
Potdonk flopped flush

Have seen him 3bet/folding earlier, and his overall stats indicates that he should have at least some bluffs in his range (or weaker valuehands), so call is ok pre?

Flop is standard.

Turn is also a mandatory call I guess, facing only a 1/2 pot bet, and have no clue of how wide he barrels.

But on the river it gets tougher. He instshoves. What are you doing here?


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He has 10 nitty value combos of AK and KK+.

So we need to find 10 bluff combos for a break even call.

Vs such a passive guy it is extremely unlikely he has 10 bluff combos.

Turn call is close but river is a easy fold


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Bierbaer
Joined: 27.05.2005

Originally posted by CallumN
He has 10 nitty value combos of AK and KK+.

So we need to find 10 bluff combos for a break even call.

Vs such a passive guy it is extremely unlikely he has 10 bluff combos.

Turn call is close but river is a easy fold

We get 2:1 so it's only 5 bluffcombos.
But I think we don't even have those.

Imo fold turn as he's unlikely to even 2nd barrel light.


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