Party Poker No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t30.00/t60.00 Blinds - 10 players - View hand 1623272
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter
UTG+2: t1380.00 23 BBs
MP1: t1680.00 28 BBs
MP2: t2010.00 33.50 BBs
Hero (MP3): t1770.00 29.50 BBs
CO: t1910.00 31.83 BBs
BTN: t2620.00 43.67 BBs
SB: t2650.00 44.17 BBs
BB: t1700.00 28.33 BBs
UTG: t2340.00 39 BBs
UTG+1: t1940.00 32.33 BBs
Pre Flop: (t90) Hero is MP3 with K 
A
3 folds, MP1 raises to t180, 1 fold, Hero calls t180, 4 folds
Flop: (t450) Q 2 
A 
(2 players)
MP1 bets t300.00, Hero calls t300
Turn: (t1050) Q (2 players)
MP1 bets t1200.00, Hero calls t1200
River: (t3450) Q 
(2 players)
MP1 is a Reg at 11$-55$. No reads during the Session. plays 15/9 1,2k hands 40% cbet. Some reads I acquired in the postanalysis are: he limps a lot at 40/20 with wide Range including monsters. Leaves out easy pushes as Bubble-BS. In unopened pots he has a 9%-or-Range from MP @ 60/30 lvl (22 hands with these exact criteria).
BU is a tight Reg, CO a weakish Reg. The image of yours truly should be tight as well.
SB+BB are very weak spots. Same goes for MP2.
The ugly spot is obv. the T. We need somewhere between 35% and 40% to call here.
I have to admit that I still tend to call here vs most Regs as I feel that they tend to overplay weaker TPs more often than not. But in this specific case even if this assumption would be correct, I would not be ahead by much, as he has at least AQ+KQ and possibly even QJs in his or-Range. Another problematic part of his range would be hands with FD+GS like JTs or KJs/KTs and hands with pair+FD like ATs/AJs.
Some ranges as for instant, assuming he is not slowplaying the Nutz here:
AA,QQ,ATs+,KQs,QJs,KdJd,JdTd,AJo+,KQo -> 44%
AA,QQ,ATs+,KQs,AJo+,KQo -> 44,5%
AA,QQ,AQs+,KQs,AQo+,KQo -> 17,5%
AA,QQ,AQs+,KQs,AdJd,AdTd,AQo+,KQo -> 24%
So... what to do here?
As a follow up thought: As hero is not likely to coldcall AQ/KQ vs a nit here, should you turn hands like AJs/ATs with FD into bluffs here as I would fold AK here as i can only have AA/QQ once?
Same goes for potential hands like KT/KJ/JT with FD
