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Flipping on the Bubble

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Trbst
Joined: 26.09.2007

Hello,

I was wondering, is it worth flipping on the bubble ?

Let's look at an example:

You have AK and you know Villain has 99 (for the sake of this discussion). Let's imagine that you are not the two big stacks and that there's a dude with 3 blinds left because that changes everything, but, imagine that there are 4 players with equal stacks.

So you're faced with a decision - should I call this guy's push.

1 out of 2 flips you will win.

If it's a 1.20 9-man SNG with 50/30/20 payout, in the even that you win and say finish third later on, you will win 1.80 (or 0.60 net profit after covering the buy in).

In the event that you lose, you will lose 1.20. So on average, if after winning the coin flip you finish third, you'd be losing 0.60 (-1.20 + 0.60).

Yet you have the potential to hit 2nd or third place.

So what's your opinion ? :)

Regards


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Coach
CollinMoshman
Joined: 20.09.2011

You should fold in spots like this. The chips you gain when you win have less dollar value than the chips you lose when your opponent wins the flip. I would use the software SNGWizard to get a better feel of situations like this, GL.


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Trbst
Joined: 26.09.2007

Hello,

Thanks for that.

Apparently I haven't paid enough attention the first time - I'll go back to your book :)


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diversfx
Joined: 24.12.2010

You have given a very specific hand range. You also have to calculate the odds of a shove with AQ AJ or Ax even KQ etc. all of which are likely at micro/low stakes sng's.


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