$3 45 man bubble shove

Fold. You're UTG and when you get call, you're in bad shape with KTo.

18.9%, 44+ A2s+ A9o+ K9s+ KJo+ Q9s+ QJo J9s+ T9s

ICM Nash Calculator Results

Icm does not take into account that I hit the blinds next and pretty much lose my fe after that, hence the question of should I shove wider than icm says.

You prefer lose your chips to lose your fold equity ?

If this was as easy as pumping the numbers into nash then we would all be millionares, nobody is calling correctly in a $3 sng. I was hoping for a discussion on the pros and cons of this shove. Even nash is saying KJo is a shove so saying people are calling tighter on the bubble the BB's stack dictates that he cannot call us wide and the blinds hitting us next hand are a pretty decent argument for shoving, the cons are if we bust we have no equity in the tournament, we don't double our equity by doubling up and the sb is super short and may feel like a gamble if he doesn't understand icm. I am not saying shoving is right but for you to say ir's black and white because nash says so is a very blinkered point of view imo.

This is not a simple situation. However on the micros it is best to play mathematically correct as other players are weak enough to bust their stacks, no matter how much bigger those stacks are compared to yours. It sucks to fold but in this spot on these limits I think folding should win u more money than shoving would in the long run.