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$15 6max A9s bubble

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deVall3y
Joined: 07.01.2009

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, 15 Tournament, 75/150 Blinds (3 handed) - PokerStars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

Hero (SB) (t2577)
BB (t3167)
Button (t3256)

Hero's M: 11.45

Preflop: Hero is SB with 9, A
1 fold, Hero bets t334, BB raises to t3167 (All-In), Hero calls t2243 (All-In)

Flop: (t5154) J, K, 2 (2 players, 2 all-in)

Turn: (t5154) 3 (2 players, 2 all-in)

River: (t5154) 5 (2 players, 2 all-in)

Total pot: t5154

Villain is reg with 15/12 over 1.8k hands
Is A9s good enough to induce? I think so because both opponents have a similar stack that is bigger than mine


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3 replies

A9s is good enough if you have reads that he is aggressive or you have aggressive history. no specific reads, i like limp/shove better or open shove


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wiarygodny
Joined: 16.07.2009

Originally posted by lessthanthreee
A9s is good enough if you have reads that he is aggressive or you have aggressive history. no specific reads, i like limp/shove better or open shove

even on the bubble? i understand limp/shove or an open shove but are we really that happy to r/c him on the bubble? You said that only when we have reads that he is aggressive, but it looks like he has to be really aggressive to make it +EV.

chip odds 43,5%; i can't give you the risk factor since i still dont have the full version of ICMExplorer so i cant calculate 6max, but i assume its gonna be pretty big with our still very far from desperate stack.

I played a bit with the Equilab and came up with a range against which we have 56,13% equity (id guess its enough, although not sure): 22+,A2s+,K5s+,Q8s+,J8s+,T7s+,97s+,86s+,75s+,65s,A2o+,K8o+,QTo+,J9o+,T9o

that is pretty wide, even if we know he's a reg. Ofc some of them are gonna be on almost ATC here, but can we assume him being that wide without any specific reads? idk whether stats given are filtered for the bubble, if they are i think we all agree to snap fold our A9 here :)


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Equity needed: 53.4%
Chip odds: 43.52%
Risk premium: 9.88%

the break even point is if hes reshoving around 25% of hands. the main point about this raise/call is he needs to be reshoving all Ax. (which i think most regs do).

its fairly standard to r/c this vs your average aggro reg.


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