$6 KJs shortie btn bub

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_Anonymous_

01.05.2012, 17:37 0

Party Poker No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t400.00/t800.00 Blinds - 4 players - View hand 1749791
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

SB: t7560.00 9.45 BBs - VPIP: 23, PFR: 16, 3B: 2, AF: 2.3, Hands: 142
BB: t9375.00 11.72 BBs - VPIP: 33, PFR: 4, 3B: 5, AF: 1.2, Hands: 57
CO: t1765.00 2.21 BBs - VPIP: 14, PFR: 10, 3B: 0, AF: 0.7, Hands: 79
Hero (BTN): t1300.00 1.62 BBs - VPIP: 16, PFR: 13, 3B: 4, AF: 2.6, Hands: 4155

Pre Flop: (t1200) Hero is BTN with K :club: J :club:
1 fold, Hero raises to t1275, 1 fold, BB calls t475

Nash

all unknowns.
Filtered SB: 71hands/ inf./27/23
Filtered BB: 31hands/inf./30/0

WIZ ANALYSIS: SB overcall 24%/BB overcall 12%; BB call 90% + BVB tight PR/CR (35%/15%) vs each other, I can push 11.0% (66+, A9o+, A8s+, KJs+). If BB calls looser than 90% KJs becomes a fold. Vs 100% BB CR I can only push 9.20% (66+, ATo+, A9s+)

Bad push? :f_biggrin: pretty much 0 FE..

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1 reply

_Anonymous_

03.05.2012, 11:27 0

the CO makes a difference here too to your range. if the CO is bad and likely to make a big mistake in the BB you can afford to be a bit tighter to factor that.

if the CO is 'normal' or has a clue he will be very tight on his BB so you should be a bit looser here and just assume you will be AI next hand or when its your BB.

so you have this hand and 2 more chances to get AI before you blind out.(assuming the CO makes no huge ICM errors). all 3 of those chances you have no FE. so not having FE here (yes it sucks) its not a big deal, because you either get the chips in now, next hand or the BB (all 3 without FE).

so i would take this shove with a really nice KJs and go wider than wiz (wiz wont factor losing FE by hitting the blinds).

you are desperate, you gotta get it in with a hand that plays well against ATC ranges. high cards.

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