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$22 5max AKo flop play

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SB is an average reg and CO is a fish. I'm not sure what do on the flop here. I mean I have over 50% equity against his overpairs here, but I'm not sure if this particular reg would be folding hands like TT, JJ etc. Obviously the chance of him having KK or AA is small since we hold AK.

Stats:
SB: 19/16/7% 3b
CO: 54/18

Ongame Network NL Hold'em Turbo No Limit Hold'em Tournament - t10/t20 Blinds - 5 players - View hand 1778983
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

BB: t1500 75 BBs
Hero (UTG): t1530 76.50 BBs
CO: t1500 75 BBs
BTN: t1490 74.50 BBs
SB: t1480 74 BBs

Pre Flop: (t30) Hero is UTG with A :diamond: K :club:
Hero raises to t60, CO calls t60, 1 fold, SB raises to t235, 1 fold, Hero calls t175, CO calls t175

Flop: (t725) 8 :diamond: 6 :diamond: 3 :diamond: (3 players)
SB bets t455, Hero raises to t1295 all in


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2 replies
Tim64
Joined: 03.11.2008

Unless there is reason for thinking the reg can squeeze light here, there's a good case for just folding pre once he 3b SB vs UTG. Esp b/c we're oop vs the fish postflop so the value of keeping him in falls.

As played, don't see what else we can do given all the dead money. But we don't love the spot by any means which is why I'd rather 4b or fold pre on balance. If we were BU, fish SB called and BB squeezed, then 4betting b/comes much more attractive.


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i think the SB is value-heavy judging by his pre-flop sizing and the fact that hes 3betting your EP open from the SB (very bad spot to be 3betting you light IMO) (obv hes value-heavy after his flop size) . but the drooler CO entices me to flat and play a flop with AK. the SB is going to be really restricted to only cbetting good flops because he is OOP and the fish is in the hand. this means we can still pick up pots post-flop when the SB checks on bad boards and we semi-bluff , or when we get value vs the CO.

pretty gross spot. i dont expect any FE after he sizes it so big but having the CO left to act behind really entices me into the pot. My line would be to FLAT and hopefully induce the CO to do something spazy with a weak straight draw/diamond or pair. then we can get it in 3-way with teh NFD which is AMAZING.

if i knew for certain it was just me vs the reg i think its a fold.


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