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0,25/0,5 monoboard QJK

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Rantrave
Joined: 19.04.2009

Poker Stars $0.25/$0.50 Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 1835197
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

Pre Flop: (1.4 SB) Hero is BB with 8 :diamond: A :spade:
2 folds, CO calls, 1 fold, SB raises, Hero calls, CO calls

Flop: (6 SB) K :diamond: Q :diamond: J :diamond: (3 players)
SB bets, Hero folds, CO folds

Ok, its clearly my overplay to not peel this flop with my 8 :diamond: fsdraw.
I was analising this hand with friend and there is a interesting question.
Do we should c-bet this flop If we are SB?
We assume that on BB we have solid tag.
Co is a limper with 90 VPIP 0 PFR after 10 hands.

The problem is BB which will call here something like that.

Spoiler

The hand range is something which won't be folded by BB. The red one is a part of range he ll fold.
Now it makes 452 hands which he won't fold to c-bet flop. 112 hands which he ll fold.

112/564, it makes him fold something like 19% of time.

There is a still CO in a pot.

So if we hold in SB spot something like A :heart:8 :club: or 66 w/o diamonds, or cards which miss this flop completly, should we c-bet or just play x/f beacuse there is alot of their range which ll peel/give us action and we do not have value to c-bet. ??


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firsttsunami
Joined: 23.01.2006

As you figured correctly, a big part of BB's callingrange has decent equity. Board contains 3 highcards, gutshots and flushdraws. Really the most terrible board if you don't even have a piece of it, being oop and facing 2 opponents left to act, you should just check/fold. On these stakes people don't exploit you because now they should know that always when you contibet, you must have something. your range is stronger, they have to fold more. but they won't adapt that way and won't gain much information once they've seen such a play. So if you have something like 55 or A5:spade: , just give up right away on the flop. Let's say the board comes rainbow, you should check/call with your gutshot and fold to another turnbet.

CO will certainly call a lot but the board is scary for him as well and he'll certainly just raise very strong range and considering your odds of 1:8 (you require 5 outs, 3 on the gutshot and at least 2 for your flushdraw) for the flopcall, i would call at least once and given CO folds, i would call the turn and fold ui on the River, call on :diamond: and if your opponent is reasonable, you can actually muck on A non :diamond: as you should always be crushed against his riverbetting-range.

Suggestions?


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