PKR, $0.02/$0.04 No Limit Hold'em Cash, 10 Players
Poker Tools Powered By Holdem Manager - The Ultimate Poker Software Suite.
BTN: $4.36 (109 bb)
SB: $1.38 (34.5 bb)
BB: $7.57 (189.3 bb)
UTG: $5.57 (139.3 bb)
UTG+1: $4.94 (123.5 bb)
UTG+2: $1.74 (43.5 bb)
MP1: $8.81 (220.3 bb)
Hero (MP2): $4.10 (102.5 bb)
MP3: $2.25 (56.3 bb)
CO: $4.12 (103 bb)
Preflop: Hero is MP2 with A
K
UTG folds, UTG+1 calls $0.04, 2 folds, Hero raises to $0.20, 5 folds, UTG+1 calls $0.16
Flop: ($0.46) 8 Q 3 (2 players)
UTG+1 bets $0.60, Hero calls $0.60
Turn: ($1.66) J (2 players)
UTG+1 bets $1.50, Hero calls $1.50
River: ($4.66) 5 (2 players)
UTG+1 bets $2.64, Hero calls $1.80 and is all-in
Results:
Spoiler
$8.26 pot ($0.82 rake)
Final Board: 8 Q 3 J 5
UTG+1 showed 8
9 and lost (-$4.10 net)
Hero showed A K and won $7.44 ($3.34 net)
Villain's stats after 9 hands: 56/44/6.0/50.0
Given his very wide range, on this board I was thinking I have more equity, even if he hits a pair. His preflop donk overbet didn't scare me much so I just decide to call as to not scare him away and to see the turn. Then he bets near potsize on the turn on a card that gave me additional outs. At this point I was worried about him flopping a flush, but most of the time, despite having a very limited read on him, I thought he could easily be doing this with air, especially with his very high bet sizing.
Would I usually be right in thinking this, or is just folding to his overbet on this flop the best way, given I only had stats of his 9 previous hands?
