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FR50 AJ top pair river play OOP

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BB: $58.62 (117.2 bb)
UTG+2: $133.82 (267.6 bb)
MP1: $43.25 (86.5 bb)
MP2: $57.85 (115.7 bb)
MP3: $109.62 (219.2 bb)
CO: $121.53 (243.1 bb)
BTN: $79.16 (158.3 bb)
Hero (SB): $60.82 (121.6 bb)

Preflop: Hero is SB with A J
4 folds, CO raises to $1.75, BTN folds, Hero calls $1.50, BB folds

Flop: ($4) 2 2 A (2 players)
Hero checks, CO checks

Turn: ($4) 6 (2 players)
Hero bets $3, CO calls $3

River: ($10) T (2 players)
Hero ???

Villain is 22/16, 69 hands so not a big sample, AF 0.9
Bet river for value? Let him bluff if he has clubs?
The problem is he's never betting a worse ace and never checking behind or folding a better one. Since he checked behind on the flop, I don't think he has AJ-AK, so he might have AT or worse, or just missed clubs.


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3 replies
Hackett77
Joined: 02.02.2009

What is villains flop cbet and river aggression?

He can actually show up with AQ+ alot here as this is a a perfect spot to check back those hands from a value perspective. There is very little need for him to bet this flop with TP here and he can often get 2 streets of value from hands that call flop and fold turn.

Obviously I have no idea if villian is aware of this though and we have no sample to make any assumptions. Im just saying because its something to be aware of, plus I think too many people auto cbet AQ+ here which they shouldnt do everytime on this type of flop.

I would betfold around 40-60% of pot for thin value vs underpairs and weak Axs as I dont see him bluffing clubs with such a low AF and such a dry board.


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veriz
Joined: 20.07.2008

Hello circoflax,

He still has also maybe even JJ-KK or whatsoever in his range, therefore I'd Bet really smallish on the river for value to get called from those hands, something like $3-5.

Best Regards.


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Exactly what I did, I bet 5, he called with AT.


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