Poker Stars $200.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 1864045
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BTN: $207.86
Hero (SB): $630.30
BB: $274.44
UTG: $260.44
MP: $375.49
CO: $200.00
Pre Flop: ($3.00) Hero is SB with J♠ T♣
3 folds, BTN raises to $4, Hero raises to $16, BB calls $14, 1 fold
Flop: ($36.00) Q♦ Q♣ 9♦ (2 players)
Hero bets $21.00, BB calls $21
Turn: ($78.00) K♣ (2 players)
Hero bets $63.00, BB calls $63
River: ($204.00) A♥ (2 players)
Hero checks, BB bets $108.64, Hero ?
Villain is a 21/18 TAG, no other info.
1) Do I bet Flop? His range looks like AQ/JJ/TT/99 mostly, but I block half combos of JJ and TT. Is this a c/f on the Flop?
If he somehow slowplays AA/KK like 20% of the time, and occasionally AK as well, then I'm only folding out 99 and AK with a bet.
hands continuing vs a bet
JJ/TT (6 combos)
QQ+ (2-3 combos)
AQ (8 combos)
hands which are folding
AK (3 combos)
99 (3-6 combos)
I guess you can argue that I'm actually folding out the required 33% of hands by half potting (and furthermore I have equity with straight draws) but it's really close. I'm definitely check/folding AK and even 9X in this spot.
2) When I make my straight, I don't think he has KK/KQs all that often. So my plan was to 3 barrel
3) River sucks hard for me. Is this a check/fold? I lose to AQ a lot now, betting doesn't seem to accomplish much when his range is weighted towards boats. I guess he doesn't have too many busted flush draws given that he's a TAG and TAGs don't coldcall 3bets with stuff like 78s