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NL500 Zoom AK w TPTK in 3b pot

8 Posts
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mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

Poker Stars $500.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 1872211
DeucesCracked Poker Videos Hand History Converter

BTN: $567.49
SB: $587.15
Hero (BB): $2238.48
UTG: $217.71
MP: $1436.88
CO: $849.01

Pre Flop: ($7.50) Hero is BB with A♥ K♠
UTG raises to $12.41, 3 folds, SB calls $9.91, Hero raises to $50, 1 fold, SB calls $37.59

Flop: ($112.41) 7♦ 7♠ 6♣ (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $50.00, SB calls $50

Turn: ($212.41) K♣ (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $104.80, SB calls $104.80

River: ($422.01) 8♣ (2 players)
SB checks, Hero bets $2033.68, SB calls $382.35 all in

This guy is 45/35/12 (Schmeff If you know him)
Doesn't fold shit to 3bets, have seen him defend all sorts of suited connectors in the past. Won't be surprised to see 77+ here in his range as well, perhaps some AXs.

I'm seriously wondering if I have value on this flush completing river. I don't think he can have any KX, I expect him to backraise JJ+ a good amount, so this leaves me with mostly 99/TT which I'm beating (and I doubt he calls when BDFD hits), and a ton of 7Xs. Won't be surprised to see 45s or Tc9c as well.

76/77/78/A8 (4 combos)
Tc9c (1 combo)
45s (1-2 out of 4) - I have seen him play passively OOP as PFR with flush draws in single raised pots before.
88 (3 combos)

Even if he calls me like half the time with 99/TT, seems like there's not too much value.

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Of course I could easily be results-oriented (and I haven't played NL500 for 3 months) but the main thing I remember about Schmeff is that
- He hates folding pre, always defends against 3 and 4 bets
- hits a lot post xD


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7 replies
mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

Of course you could always argue about having to shove AK for value to be balanced, but I think perhaps this could be treated as a vacuum spot


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Coach
pleno1
Joined: 19.11.2010

Moved to right board for discussion :)


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imfromsweden007
Joined: 11.10.2008

Yeah I think there's definitly value in a river bet, unless you're a complete nit and schmeff never thinks you're bluffing here. But he can certinly hero TT/99 or have like KQ or some random shit. I'm not too worried about 7x tbh, even he should realize what a terrible play it would be to call A7s OOP and he shouldn't have too many other sevens (78s and 76s are unlikely to combinatorics). I would mostly be worried about 88 tbh.

Overall I think it's a clear shove if you have any kind of non-nit dynamic, otherwise I guess its OK to check back.


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mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

he actually had 45s in this hand, schmeff doesn't fold suited connectors and suited aces at all pre-flop


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imfromsweden007
Joined: 11.10.2008

45s.... well that's an interesting play from him lol


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In his river calling range you havent included any random Kx floats?

Fish often peel random overs like KJ/KQ/KT here too


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mbml
Joined: 27.11.2008

he's not a fish, he's a strong reg. but he is super loose pre and i don't know how he makes money defending OOP with all sorts of shitty suited connectors


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