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Herofolding vs weird line

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getdotacom
Joined: 06.04.2008

$2/$4 No Limit Holdem
6 Players
Hand Conversion Powered by weaktight.com

Stacks:
HERO (UTG) ($1,194.64) 299bb
UTG+1 ($483.94) 121bb
CO ($776.86) 194bb
BTN ($426.14) 107bb
SB ($1,301.57) 325bb
BB ($200) 50bb

Pre-Flop: ($6, 6 players) HERO is UTG K♠ K♦
HERO raises to $10.60, 1 fold, CO calls $10.60, 2 folds, BB calls $6.60

Flop: 7♠ 8♠ Q♦ ($33.80, 3 players)
BB checks, HERO bets $24.21, CO calls $24.21, BB folds

Turn: 2♦ ($82.22, 2 players)
HERO bets $71.47, CO raises to $142.94, HERO calls $71.47

River: 7♦ ($368.10, 2 players)
HERO checks, CO goes all-in $599.11, HERO folds

Villain stats : 21/17/8.1 3.5AF, 29WTSD, Raise FCbet 7, Raise TCBet 50 (3/6) 1.1k hands. Don't remember any other hands with him, but I think he's not very good, at least I've marked him that way :) Other guy in the pot is 40bb reg.

On the turn his minraise doesn't make any sense for me and I thought it could be a missclick as well. Don't see anything else we can do besides calling here.

The river : I insta check and he insta jams It looks like a bluff for me, but I talked myself into folding somehow. Basically because I thought he's not very good and not bluffing that much. I think he can't have a flush here, he wouldn't just insta jam it when the board pairs, so it's FH or nothing.


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2 replies
Coach
pleno1
Joined: 19.11.2010

oh my gosh, how weird. he can have all the flopped sets in his range, i think vs his turn cbet raise stats, even with a small sample we should just call/call. He never has diamonds, although is repping only full houses, I guess he would make it bigger ott to jam river with a set as it makes stacks awkward now.

I guess he will flat the flop cbet often so the shorter stack can jam flop with all gutters/fds/qx.

OTR it just makes little sense and I prob hate life/call.


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imfromsweden007
Joined: 11.10.2008

I really feel like he's raising flop close to 100% of the time with sets/2pairs. So what does that leave us on the turn? Thin raises with AQ? Semibluff with 89 or other random draw?

On the river the diamond draw gets there, and he probably (?) doesn't shove anything for "thin value" here, so that leaves him bluffing with other missed draws + valuehands. V tough spot, wouldn't be surprised if folding is correct given how tight he is.


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