Poker Stars $200.00 No Limit Hold'em - 6 players - View hand 1911708
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BTN: $439.29
SB: $203.00
BB: $468.59
UTG: $258.96
MP: $527.36
Hero (CO): $392.57
Pre Flop: ($3.00) Hero is CO with Q♦ A♥
2 folds, Hero raises to $4, BTN raises to $14, 2 folds, Hero calls $10
Flop: ($31.00) T♥ 8♦ J♠ (2 players)
Hero bets $20.00, BTN calls $20
Turn: ($71.00) K♠ (2 players)
Hero bets $68.00, BTN calls $68
River: ($207.00) J♦ (2 players)
Hero bets $111.00, BTN raises to $337.29, Hero calls $179.57 all in
Opponent is RhinoBluff, 23/18/8.5, 6% 3bet in BU overall, 11% 3bet vs CO.
I don't think he's all that wide here but still we are deep and I expect some 3bets with less polarized stuff like suited broadways and suited Aces as compared to AXo or suited junk. There's not too much to say about this guy, he's as TAGgy and standard as it gets, typical decent NL200 reg who seems fairly easy to play against.
He has a low Flop Cbet % of 56% and I decided to lead here, thinking that he should be folding a lot and also for the sake of balance with my sets. But I'm wondering if betting is bad, against someone who is likelier to be merged in his 3betting range. I think it seems fine if he has a wide air heavy range since I would have a lot of immediate fold equity.
Turn is a card which improves a lot so I figured that potting was the best play to build stacks and go for value.
River is really Dicey. I wonder what sizing I should bet on the River, whether we are ever considering a fold (I don't think he's the type to bluff shove in this spot but I wonder if he's bad enough to bluff shove a hand like AJ, we also split a lot)
I also wonder if the River changes significantly if it were a King pairing card, or an 8/T.