Grabbed by Holdem Manager
NL Holdem $1(BB) Replayer
Hero ($153)
BB ($46.40)
UTG ($235)
UTG+1 ($103)
CO ($50)
BTN ($121)
Dealt to Hero T♠ A♠
fold, UTG+1 raises to $3, fold, fold, Hero raises to $10, fold, UTG+1 calls $7
FLOP ($21) 5♦ J♦ J♠
Hero bets $11, UTG+1 calls $11
TURN ($43) 5♦ J♦ J♠ 8♣
Hero checks, UTG+1 checks
RIVER ($43) 5♦ J♦ J♠ 8♣ T♣
Hero checks, UTG+1 bets $28, Hero raises to $132 (AI)...
Villain stats: 25/19 (raise first MP = 23%), fold to 3bet 80%, wtsd 21%. - 272 hands
Preflop: I'm really just looking for an immediate profit here with villains somewhat loose range in MP and high fold to 3bet.
Flop: Again just hoping to take this down right here. In hind sight the C-bet is probably not so good as villain defends quite a tight range that beats us and is unlikely to fold.
Turn: Obviously no value in betting here. Only reason to bet would be to set up triple barrel bluff, which might not be such a bad idea on this board given villain has mainly medium pocket pairs or ace high.
River: After villain checks back turn I pretty much have him capped at one pair or ace high. I figure his value betting range is just QQ (maybe some AA or KK), and that he might be able to fold that considering his low wtsd, but maybe that is a little optimistic? If there is a small chance he can call with worse then the shove can't be that bad right? Or do we have enough showdown value to either x/c or b/f?
