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$7.00T FR: AA vs river donk shove

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mktpppr
Joined: 18.07.2010

hi,
villain 40 hands 33/18 - AFq 47 - 3B 0 - filtered, unknown

flop: bet/go broke
turn: bet/go broke
river: check/fold - no showdown value, i can't call any bet

PokerStars No-Limit Hold'em, 7 Tournament, 15/30 Blinds (9 handed) - PokerStars Converter Tool from FlopTurnRiver.com

MP3 (t1500)
Hero (CO) (t1560)
Button (t1425)
SB (t1180)
BB (t1860)
UTG (t1430)
UTG+1 (t1575)
MP1 (t1470)
MP2 (t1500)

Hero's M: 34.67

Preflop: Hero is CO with A, A
5 folds, Hero bets t120, 2 folds, BB calls t90

Flop: (t255) 3, 7, 6 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets t170, BB calls t170

Turn: (t595) 6 (2 players)
BB checks, Hero bets t398, BB calls t398

River: (t1391) Q (2 players)
BB bets t1172 (All-In), Hero folds

Total pot: t1391


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4 replies
kurrkabin
Joined: 12.10.2010

3x preflop. Even 75 chips is preferable to 120. Especially from the CO.

The hand is well played! You plan on each street seems fine with me.


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Originally posted by kurrkabin
3x preflop. Even 75 chips is preferable to 120. Especially from the CO.

The hand is well played! You plan on each street seems fine with me.

would you really recommend folding the river?

you need to be right something like 35% of the time..

surely that's enough to call with AA, he could be overplaying a rivered queen or bluffing when his gutshot didn't hit

edit: just realised the flush draw hit.. but I'm still wondering, is a fold on the river much better than a call?


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ghaleon
Joined: 17.10.2007

Villain very unlikely has any Qx in his range that would call flop and turn. Also flush draws are much more likely than straight draws even if villain is defending too much preflop.


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kurrkabin
Joined: 12.10.2010

That's exactly how a fish would play FD. Let's just put it this way- he either has a draw or he has value. Value like 7x he ain't playing this way on the riv+ maybe he re-raises flop, Qx not in his range and I still doubt he plays it like this, 6x-possible, but he prolly re-raise turn, anyway....we are mostly behind here. Fold is better to me.


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